Zac Pauga vs. Modestas Bukauskas - UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Modestas Bukauskas by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Zac Pauga
12
4
21
31.7
+141
Modestas Bukauskas
-175

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Zac Pauga Modestas Bukauskas
Main Stats
Age 35 29
Height 74" 75"
Reach 76" 78"
Win Percentage 87.50% 73.68%
Wins 7 15
Losses 2 5
Wins at Weight Class 1 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 71.52% 40.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 67.41% 38.36%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.728 3.729
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.418 3.370
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -47.00% -8.80%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 25.00% -5.80%
Striking Output Differential -68.50% 2.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential 8.50% 5.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 76.27% 112.65%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 84.62% 124.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 65.25% 50.96%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.369 0.337
Takedown Defense 100.00% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.185 2.246
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.029 7.391
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.262 1.842
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.456 0.786
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.651 1.033
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.680 1.370
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.777 0.337
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.874 0.359
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.049 0.809
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.893 0.472
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.136 0.674
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.583 0.202
Zac Pauga History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 18, 2023 Light Heavyweight Jordan Wright Zac Pauga Zac Pauga
Aug. 6, 2022 Heavyweight Mohammed Usman Zac Pauga Mohammed Usman
Modestas Bukauskas History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 11, 2023 Light Heavyweight Tyson Pedro Modestas Bukauskas Modestas Bukauskas
Sept. 4, 2021 Light Heavyweight Modestas Bukauskas Khalil Rountree Jr. Khalil Rountree Jr.
March 27, 2021 Light Heavyweight Modestas Bukauskas Michal Oleksiejczuk Michal Oleksiejczuk
Oct. 17, 2020 Light Heavyweight Jimmy Crute Modestas Bukauskas Jimmy Crute
July 15, 2020 Light Heavyweight Modestas Bukauskas Andreas Michailidis Modestas Bukauskas