Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida - UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Pat Sabatini by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Pat Sabatini
16
13
11.9
-180
Lucas Almeida
13
+146

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Pat Sabatini Lucas Almeida
Main Stats
Age 32 32
Height 68" 71"
Reach 70" 71"
Win Percentage 80.95% 93.33%
Wins 18 14
Losses 4 2
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 76.73% 54.97%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.56% 49.34%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.454 8.611
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.666 6.870
Knockdowns per Fight 0.312 2.748
Striking Impact Differential 27.40% 52.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.60% 44.00%
Striking Output Differential 28.20% 97.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -1.20% 90.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 29.03% 34.04%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 97.50% 41.33%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.00% 50.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.874 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 3.747 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 8.744 0.000
Takedown Defense 133.33% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 42.86% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.208 2.931
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.498 8.702
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.791 1.557
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 1.466
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.354 2.015
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.479 1.099
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.125 2.473
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.146 3.206
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.229 0.183
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.146 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.208 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.229 0.092
Pat Sabatini History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 17, 2022 Featherweight Damon Jackson Pat Sabatini Damon Jackson
April 16, 2022 Featherweight Pat Sabatini TJ Laramie Pat Sabatini
Nov. 20, 2021 Featherweight Pat Sabatini Tucker Lutz Pat Sabatini
Aug. 28, 2021 Featherweight Jamall Emmers Pat Sabatini Pat Sabatini
April 24, 2021 Featherweight Pat Sabatini Tristan Connelly Pat Sabatini
Lucas Almeida History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 4, 2022 Featherweight Michael Trizano Lucas Almeida Lucas Almeida