Dan Argueta vs. Ronnie Lawrence - UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: None by Overturned

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Dan Argueta
+140
Ronnie Lawrence
24
3
17
16.2
-170

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Dan Argueta Ronnie Lawrence
Main Stats
Age 29 31
Height 67" 68"
Reach 68" 68"
Win Percentage 90.00% 80.00%
Wins 9 8
Losses 0 2
Wins at Weight Class 0 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 68.77% 63.73%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.39% 58.47%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.533 4.246
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.467 3.237
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.056
Striking Impact Differential 67.00% -17.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 14.00% 17.33%
Striking Output Differential 83.50% -27.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 23.50% 17.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 28.57% 74.03%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 68.92% 70.29%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.58% 53.01%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.500 5.278
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.500 6.333
Takedown Defense 100.00% 125.00%
Takedown Accuracy 55.56% 83.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.767 2.135
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.033 3.964
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.233 1.407
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.400 0.563
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.433 0.938
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.200 0.282
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.300 0.540
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.333 0.633
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.100 0.328
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.533 0.141
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.800 0.188
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.200 0.282
Dan Argueta History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 14, 2023 Featherweight Dan Argueta Nick Aguirre Dan Argueta
June 4, 2022 Featherweight Damon Jackson Dan Argueta Damon Jackson
Ronnie Lawrence History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 9, 2022 Bantamweight Ronnie Lawrence Saidyokub Kakhramonov Saidyokub Kakhramonov
Feb. 12, 2022 Bantamweight Mana Martinez Ronnie Lawrence Ronnie Lawrence
Feb. 27, 2021 Bantamweight Vince Cachero Ronnie Lawrence Ronnie Lawrence