Carlos Hernandez vs. Denys Bondar - UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Carlos Hernandez by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Carlos Hernandez
23
14
24.2
-122
Denys Bondar
17
-106

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Carlos Hernandez Denys Bondar
Main Stats
Age 29 30
Height 68" 66"
Reach 67" 69"
Win Percentage 80.00% 80.00%
Wins 9 14
Losses 2 4
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 50.27% 80.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.60% 80.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.091 2.927
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.763 2.927
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -4.00% -2.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.00% 1.00%
Striking Output Differential 9.50% -10.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 15.00% -6.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.89% 225.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 73.56% 200.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 42.95% 72.73%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.642 10.976
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.391 10.976
Takedown Defense 60.00% 0.00%
Takedown Accuracy 22.22% 100.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.175 1.463
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.610 2.195
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.861 2.195
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.040 0.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.533 0.000
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.409 0.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.547 1.463
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.657 1.463
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.383 0.000
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.150 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.916 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.547 0.000
Carlos Hernandez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 14, 2023 Flyweight Allan Nascimento Carlos Hernandez Allan Nascimento
Feb. 26, 2022 Flyweight Victor Altamirano Carlos Hernandez Carlos Hernandez
Denys Bondar History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 5, 2022 Flyweight Malcolm Gordon Denys Bondar Malcolm Gordon