Marlon Vera vs. Cory Sandhagen - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Cory Sandhagen by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: San Antonio, Texas, USA
Elevation: 202.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marlon Vera
21
36.6
+135
Cory Sandhagen
9
-165

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marlon Vera Cory Sandhagen
Main Stats
Age 30 30
Height 68" 71"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 74.07% 78.95%
Wins 22 16
Losses 8 4
Wins at Weight Class 12 7
Losses at Weight Class 5 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.23% 48.79%
Significant Striking Accuracy 50.93% 44.45%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.048 7.513
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.276 6.151
Knockdowns per Fight 0.739 0.475
Striking Impact Differential -16.80% 21.55%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -9.00% 22.27%
Striking Output Differential -31.20% 48.09%
Significant Striking Output Differential -23.15% 48.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 107.80% 74.18%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 123.51% 88.55%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.30% 56.39%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.046 0.356
Takedowns per Fight 0.677 0.713
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.600 3.444
Takedown Defense 45.24% 56.52%
Takedown Accuracy 42.31% 20.69%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.265 4.140
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.651 11.432
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.131 2.533
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.997 0.966
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.531 1.243
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.141 0.918
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.014 1.045
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.215 1.164
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.743 0.760
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.517 0.253
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.657 0.396
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.431 0.317
Marlon Vera History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 13, 2022 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Dominick Cruz Marlon Vera
April 30, 2022 Bantamweight Rob Font Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Nov. 6, 2021 Bantamweight Frankie Edgar Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
June 19, 2021 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Davey Grant Marlon Vera
Dec. 19, 2020 Bantamweight Jose Aldo Marlon Vera Jose Aldo
Aug. 15, 2020 Bantamweight Sean O'Malley Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Song Yadong Marlon Vera Song Yadong
Oct. 12, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Andre Ewell Marlon Vera
July 6, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Nohelin Hernandez Marlon Vera
March 23, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Frankie Saenz Marlon Vera
Nov. 17, 2018 Bantamweight Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Aug. 4, 2018 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Wulijiburen Marlon Vera
Feb. 3, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Marlon Vera Douglas Silva de Andrade
Oct. 28, 2017 Bantamweight John Lineker Marlon Vera John Lineker
July 22, 2017 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
March 18, 2017 Catch Weight Brad Pickett Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Nov. 26, 2016 Featherweight Marlon Vera Guangyou Ning Marlon Vera
Feb. 27, 2016 Bantamweight Davey Grant Marlon Vera Davey Grant
Aug. 8, 2015 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Roman Salazar Marlon Vera
Nov. 15, 2014 Bantamweight Marco Beltran Marlon Vera Marco Beltran
Cory Sandhagen History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 17, 2022 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Song Yadong Cory Sandhagen
Oct. 30, 2021 UFC Interim Bantamweight Title Petr Yan Cory Sandhagen Petr Yan
July 24, 2021 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen TJ Dillashaw TJ Dillashaw
Feb. 6, 2021 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Frankie Edgar Cory Sandhagen
Oct. 10, 2020 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen
June 6, 2020 Bantamweight Aljamain Sterling Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling
Aug. 17, 2019 Bantamweight Raphael Assuncao Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen
April 27, 2019 Bantamweight John Lineker Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen
Jan. 19, 2019 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista Cory Sandhagen
Aug. 25, 2018 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Iuri Alcantara Cory Sandhagen
Jan. 27, 2018 Featherweight Austin Arnett Cory Sandhagen Cory Sandhagen