Daniel Pineda vs. Tucker Lutz - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Daniel Pineda by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: San Antonio, Texas, USA
Elevation: 202.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Daniel Pineda
28
21
47.1
+212
Tucker Lutz
-265

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Pineda Tucker Lutz
Main Stats
Age 37 28
Height 67" 68"
Reach 69" 72"
Win Percentage 65.85% 85.71%
Wins 28 12
Losses 14 3
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 6 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 63.07% 60.73%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.91% 54.72%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.810 5.000
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.351 3.867
Knockdowns per Fight 0.204 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 9.00% -46.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.80% 9.50%
Striking Output Differential 16.70% -40.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 10.30% 22.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 43.23% 56.67%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 74.09% 61.21%
Striking Defense Percentage 45.52% 42.26%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.628 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.424 2.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.308 2.500
Takedown Defense 133.33% 62.50%
Takedown Accuracy 22.58% 80.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.374 2.133
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.616 5.067
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.076 1.800
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.502 1.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.678 1.233
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.665 1.167
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.475 0.733
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.556 0.767
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.231 0.267
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.217 0.367
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.285 0.400
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.421 0.367
Daniel Pineda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 26, 2021 Featherweight Andre Fili Daniel Pineda None
Dec. 12, 2020 Featherweight Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda Cub Swanson
Aug. 15, 2020 Featherweight Herbert Burns Daniel Pineda Daniel Pineda
March 15, 2014 Featherweight Daniel Pineda Robert Whiteford Robert Whiteford
Aug. 17, 2013 Featherweight Diego Brandao Daniel Pineda Diego Brandao
April 13, 2013 Featherweight Justin Lawrence Daniel Pineda Daniel Pineda
July 21, 2012 Featherweight Antonio Carvalho Daniel Pineda Antonio Carvalho
May 26, 2012 Featherweight Mike Brown Daniel Pineda Mike Brown
March 2, 2012 Featherweight Mackens Semerzier Daniel Pineda Daniel Pineda
Jan. 20, 2012 Featherweight Daniel Pineda Pat Schilling Daniel Pineda
Tucker Lutz History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 20, 2021 Featherweight Pat Sabatini Tucker Lutz Pat Sabatini
May 15, 2021 Featherweight Kevin Aguilar Tucker Lutz Tucker Lutz