CJ Vergara vs. Daniel Lacerda - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: CJ Vergara by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: San Antonio, Texas, USA
Elevation: 202.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
CJ Vergara
14
-265
Daniel Lacerda
1
23.6
+212

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat CJ Vergara Daniel Lacerda
Main Stats
Age 31 26
Height 66" 66"
Reach 68" 70"
Win Percentage 71.43% 73.33%
Wins 11 11
Losses 4 4
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 2 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 66.81% 66.32%
Significant Striking Accuracy 56.83% 60.53%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.783 5.879
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.655 4.292
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.400
Striking Impact Differential 31.00% -47.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.33% -21.33%
Striking Output Differential 16.00% -54.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential -17.00% -24.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 64.38% 85.71%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 104.37% 86.96%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.21% 26.67%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.400
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 4.199
Takedown Defense 37.50% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.289 2.053
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.367 4.666
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.900 8.118
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.882 1.026
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.289 1.213
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.323 1.493
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.483 1.213
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.534 1.213
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.407 0.653
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.661 0.187
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.890 0.653
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.280 0.187
CJ Vergara History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 15, 2022 Flyweight Tatsuro Taira CJ Vergara Tatsuro Taira
May 7, 2022 Flyweight Kleydson Rodrigues CJ Vergara CJ Vergara
Nov. 6, 2021 Flyweight CJ Vergara Ode Osbourne Ode Osbourne
Daniel Lacerda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 20, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Victor Altamirano Victor Altamirano
April 30, 2022 Flyweight Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo Francisco Figueiredo
Oct. 23, 2021 Flyweight Jeff Molina Daniel Lacerda Jeff Molina