Cody Durden vs. Jake Hadley - UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Cody Durden by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Nashville, Tennessee, USA
Elevation: 169.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Cody Durden
19
20
-195
Jake Hadley
16
37.6
+159

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Cody Durden Jake Hadley
Main Stats
Age 32 27
Height 67" 67"
Reach 67" 70"
Win Percentage 78.95% 90.91%
Wins 16 10
Losses 4 2
Wins at Weight Class 4 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.30% 56.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 50.83% 49.32%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.673 6.169
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.272 4.563
Knockdowns per Fight 0.229 0.634
Striking Impact Differential 15.43% 12.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.57% 5.67%
Striking Output Differential 25.71% 9.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 1.43% 1.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 58.22% 84.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 93.93% 114.81%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.91% 57.67%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.229 1.268
Takedowns per Fight 5.734 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 11.927 0.000
Takedown Defense 40.00% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 48.08% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.278 2.409
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.229 6.803
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.789 1.648
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.474 1.225
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.612 1.521
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.749 1.268
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.520 0.930
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.596 0.930
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.673 0.930
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.168 0.127
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.214 0.169
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.184 0.127
Cody Durden History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 29, 2023 Flyweight Cody Durden Charles Johnson Cody Durden
Oct. 29, 2022 Flyweight Cody Durden Carlos Mota Cody Durden
June 25, 2022 Flyweight JP Buys Cody Durden Cody Durden
March 19, 2022 Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev Cody Durden Muhammad Mokaev
Nov. 20, 2021 Flyweight Cody Durden Aoriqileng Cody Durden
Dec. 19, 2020 Flyweight Jimmy Flick Cody Durden Jimmy Flick
Aug. 1, 2020 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Cody Durden None
Jake Hadley History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 18, 2023 Flyweight Jake Hadley Malcolm Gordon Jake Hadley
Nov. 5, 2022 Flyweight Carlos Candelario Jake Hadley Jake Hadley
May 14, 2022 Flyweight Jake Hadley Allan Nascimento Allan Nascimento