UFC Event Results

March 23, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
778.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 80.0% Under: 75.0% Full: 77.78%

Profit Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 25.0% Full: 44.44%

Plain Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 55.56%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Cody Gibson

Win

-142

Strength: 7.0 points
EV: 5.5%

Mick Parkin

Win

-158

Strength: 2.0 points
EV: -5.6%

Total Odds

2.78x

Return on $10 Bet

$17.83

Parlay #2

AJ Dobson

Win

-205

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: 8.0%

Cameron Saaiman

Win

-158

Strength: 6.0 points
EV: 0.9%

Total Odds

2.43x

Return on $10 Bet

$14.29

Parlay #3

Rose Namajunas

Win

-225

Strength: 3.0 points
EV: -14.1%

Justin Tafa

Win

-235

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 9.0%

Julian Erosa

Win

-188

Strength: 10.0 points
EV: 4.9%

Total Odds

3.15x

Return on $10 Bet

$21.54

Parlay #4

Youssef Zalal

Win

-156

Strength: 0.0 points
EV: -9.9%

Trey Ogden

Win

-158

Strength: 4.0 points
EV: -1.1%

Total Odds

2.68x

Return on $10 Bet

$16.80

Parlay #5

Julian Erosa

Win

-188

Strength: 10.0 points
EV: 4.9%

Cameron Saaiman

Win

-158

Strength: 6.0 points
EV: 0.9%

Total Odds

2.50x

Return on $10 Bet

$15.01

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Amanda Ribas
6
11
+172
Rose Namajunas
3
-14.1
-225
Karl Williams
18
16
17
9.0
-235
Justin Tafa
+180
Edmen Shahbazyan
14
15
9
8.0
-205
AJ Dobson
+158
Payton Talbott
6
15
14
0.9
-158
Cameron Saaiman
+124
Billy Quarantillo
0
10
9
-9.9
-156
Youssef Zalal
+122

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.