UFC Event Results

June 15, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
778.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 50.0% Under: 25.0% Full: 37.5%

Profit Model

Main: 25.0% Under: 25.0% Full: 25.0%

Plain Model

Main: 75.0% Under: 25.0% Full: 50.0%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Tatsuro Taira

Win

-186

Strength: 20.0 points
EV: 14.1%

Westin Wilson

Win

-360

Strength: 22.0 points
EV: 0.9%

Garrett Armfield

Win

-188

Strength: 6.0 points
EV: -3.1%

Total Odds

3.01x

Return on $10 Bet

$20.10

Parlay #2

Jose Johnson

Win

-530

Strength: 23.0 points
EV: -5.0%

Miles Johns

Win

+100

Strength: 2.0 points
EV: 5.7%

Total Odds

2.38x

Return on $10 Bet

$13.77

Parlay #3

Lucas Almeida

Win

+176

Strength: 12.0 points
EV: 36.9%

Nate Maness

Win

-500

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: -8.2%

Total Odds

3.31x

Return on $10 Bet

$23.12

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Alex Perez
2
+144
Tatsuro Taira
20
10
14.1
-186
Timmy Cuamba
12
7
21
36.9
+176
Lucas Almeida
-230
Douglas Silva de Andrade
2
10
5.7
+100
Miles Johns
5
-128
Asu Almabayev
23
20
19
-5.0
-530
Jose Johnson
+360

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.