UFC Event Results

April 27, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
777.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 20.0% Under: 66.67% Full: 45.45%

Profit Model

Main: 0.0% Under: 66.67% Full: 36.36%

Plain Model

Main: 0.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 27.27%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Liang Na

Win

-530

Strength: 20.0 points
EV: -5.0%

Total Odds

1.19x

Return on $10 Bet

$1.89

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Matheus Nicolau
10
14
13
5.1
-186
Alex Perez
+144
Ryan Spann
14
16
18
8.0
-205
Bogdan Guskov
+158
Ariane da Silva
5
12
1
13.4
+114
Karine Silva
-146
Jonathan Pearce
12
16
19
7.9
-188
David Onama
+146
Tim Means
8
9
+230
Uros Medic
13
-1.4
-310

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.