The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Score: 20 Odds: Gabriel Bonfim: -400 Ange Loosa: 300
Gabriel Bonfim, a 26-year-old Brazilian prospect, enters this bout with a 15-1 record. His UFC career has been a rollercoaster, with two submission victories followed by a recent KO loss to Nicolas Dalby. Bonfim's grappling prowess is evident, boasting 3.88 submissions per fight and a perfect takedown defense ratio. His striking game is developing, landing 4.87 significant strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy and 59% striking defense. Bonfim's ability to control the fight on the ground has been his key to victory, utilizing his black belt Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background to secure dominant positions and finish fights. An impressive 12 of his 15 wins have come by submission, showcasing his exceptional grappling skills.
Ange Loosa, a 30-year-old fighter from the Democratic Republic of Congo, brings a 10-3 record with 1 no contest to this matchup. Training out of Kill Cliff FC, Loosa is known for his well-rounded skill set and durability. His recent UFC performances have been solid, with two unanimous decision victories sandwiching a loss to Mounir Lazzez. Loosa's striking output is impressive, landing 6.62 significant strikes per minute with a 49.56% accuracy. He's also shown decent takedown ability, averaging 2.35 takedowns per fight with a 47% accuracy. Loosa's striking defense is slightly better than Bonfim's, suggesting he might have an edge in stand-up exchanges. His last fight against Bryan Battle in May 2024 ended in a controversial no contest due to an accidental eye poke, which may have added fuel to his motivation for this bout.
For Gabriel Bonfim, WolfTickets has a mixed record: - Correctly predicted his win against Trevin Giles (submission in round 1) - Incorrectly predicted his win against Nicolas Dalby (lost by KO/TKO in round 2)
For Ange Loosa, WolfTickets has also shown mixed results: - Correctly predicted his win against Rhys McKee - Incorrectly predicted his loss against AJ Fletcher - Incorrectly predicted the outcome of his fight against Bryan Battle (which ended in a No Contest)
The model's inconsistent performance for both fighters adds an element of uncertainty to this prediction. While it favors Bonfim, the past inaccuracies suggest caution in relying too heavily on this prediction for betting purposes.
WolfTicketsAI predicts Gabriel Bonfim to emerge victorious in this welterweight clash. Bonfim's exceptional grappling expertise and improving striking game make him a formidable opponent. However, his recent KO loss raises concerns about his durability and striking defense. Loosa's consistent performance, higher striking output, and slight reach advantage could pose problems if he can keep the fight standing. The prediction leans towards Bonfim, but given the model's mixed past performance and Loosa's recent consistency, this bout could be closer than the odds suggest. Bonfim's path to victory likely involves taking the fight to the ground and utilizing his submission skills, while Loosa's best chance is to exploit his striking advantage, maintain distance, and test Bonfim's chin. The contrasting styles and recent events surrounding both fighters add layers of intrigue to this bout, making it a compelling matchup in the welterweight division.
Stat | Gabriel Bonfim | Ange Loosa | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 26 | 31 | 33 | |
Height | 73" | 70" | 72" | |
Reach | 72" | 74" | 74" | |
Win Percentage | 93.75% | 76.92% | 79.05% | |
Wins | 16 | 10 | ||
Losses | 1 | 4 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 2 | 2 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 43.38% | 56.84% | 50.05% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 41.13% | 49.56% | 45.09% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.094 | 9.451 | 5.410 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.403 | 6.628 | 4.159 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.664 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -5.00% | 30.00% | 3.86% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -4.00% | 1.50% | 2.88% | |
Striking Output Differential | -3.33% | 27.75% | 3.99% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -2.33% | -4.25% | 3.03% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 122.03% | 77.80% | 87.19% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 133.33% | 108.58% | 105.30% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 51.91% | 52.50% | 49.85% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 3.885 | 0.000 | 0.532 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 5.180 | 2.353 | 1.261 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 7.770 | 5.000 | 3.398 | |
Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 14.29% | 72.39% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 66.67% | 47.06% | 34.38% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.022 | 3.902 | 2.674 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.065 | 9.941 | 6.708 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.626 | 4.628 | 2.443 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.518 | 1.333 | 0.843 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.604 | 1.804 | 1.190 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.950 | 1.196 | 0.792 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.863 | 1.392 | 0.642 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.036 | 1.628 | 0.782 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.863 | 0.686 | 0.632 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.259 | 0.863 | 0.421 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.777 | 1.373 | 0.579 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.158 | 0.333 | 0.390 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 4, 2023 | Welterweight | Gabriel Bonfim | Nicolas Dalby | Nicolas Dalby | |
July 29, 2023 | Welterweight | Gabriel Bonfim | Trevin Giles | Gabriel Bonfim | |
Jan. 21, 2023 | Welterweight | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez | Gabriel Bonfim |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
March 16, 2024 | Welterweight | Bryan Battle | Ange Loosa | None | |
Sept. 2, 2023 | Welterweight | Ange Loosa | Rhys McKee | Ange Loosa | |
Aug. 20, 2022 | Welterweight | AJ Fletcher | Ange Loosa | Ange Loosa | |
April 16, 2022 | Welterweight | Mounir Lazzez | Ange Loosa | Mounir Lazzez |