The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Vicente Luque | Rafael Dos Anjos | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 31 | 38 | 32 | |
| Height | 71" | 68" | 72" | |
| Reach | 76" | 70" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 70.00% | 69.57% | 78.77% | |
| Wins | 22 | 32 | ||
| Losses | 9 | 15 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 14 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 55.32% | 54.89% | 51.86% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 52.73% | 47.09% | 46.34% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.152 | 5.093 | 5.694 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.492 | 3.562 | 4.295 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.846 | 0.187 | 0.692 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -5.37% | 7.36% | 4.70% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -0.16% | 5.18% | 2.52% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -17.63% | -7.73% | 5.41% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -10.47% | -10.24% | 3.07% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 102.11% | 102.49% | 90.80% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 109.75% | 142.02% | 111.07% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 52.25% | 61.20% | 52.09% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.761 | 0.592 | 0.563 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.508 | 2.055 | 1.268 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.015 | 5.728 | 3.520 | |
| Takedown Defense | 62.50% | 68.75% | 67.73% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.00% | 35.87% | 35.54% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.355 | 2.065 | 2.847 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.793 | 5.627 | 7.055 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 4.195 | 2.063 | 2.413 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.688 | 0.849 | 0.815 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.981 | 1.154 | 1.163 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.733 | 0.670 | 0.818 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.449 | 0.648 | 0.633 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.641 | 0.783 | 0.754 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.581 | 0.473 | 0.649 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.305 | 0.598 | 0.417 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.389 | 0.772 | 0.574 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.558 | 0.459 | 0.384 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 6, 2022 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Geoff Neal | Geoff Neal | |
| April 16, 2022 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Belal Muhammad | Belal Muhammad | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| March 27, 2021 | Welterweight | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| Aug. 1, 2020 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Randy Brown | Vicente Luque | |
| May 9, 2020 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| Nov. 2, 2019 | Welterweight | Stephen Thompson | Vicente Luque | Stephen Thompson | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Mike Perry | Vicente Luque | |
| May 18, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Bryan Barberena | Vicente Luque | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque | |
| May 19, 2018 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Chad Laprise | Vicente Luque | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| March 18, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque | Leon Edwards | |
| Nov. 12, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Belal Muhammad | Vicente Luque | |
| Sept. 24, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque | |
| July 7, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | Welterweight | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| July 12, 2015 | Welterweight | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque | Michael Graves |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| July 9, 2022 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Fiziev | Rafael Fiziev | |
| March 5, 2022 | Catch Weight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Renato Moicano | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Nov. 14, 2020 | Lightweight | Paul Felder | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Jan. 25, 2020 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| July 20, 2019 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| May 18, 2019 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Kevin Lee | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Nov. 30, 2018 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| June 9, 2018 | UFC Interim Welterweight Title | Rafael Dos Anjos | Colby Covington | Colby Covington | |
| Dec. 16, 2017 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Sept. 9, 2017 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| June 17, 2017 | Welterweight | Tarec Saffiedine | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Nov. 5, 2016 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Tony Ferguson | Tony Ferguson | |
| July 7, 2016 | UFC Lightweight Title | Rafael Dos Anjos | Eddie Alvarez | Eddie Alvarez | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | UFC Lightweight Title | Rafael Dos Anjos | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| March 14, 2015 | UFC Lightweight Title | Anthony Pettis | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Dec. 13, 2014 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Nate Diaz | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Aug. 23, 2014 | Lightweight | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| June 7, 2014 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| April 19, 2014 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Khabib Nurmagomedov | |
| Aug. 28, 2013 | Lightweight | Donald Cerrone | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| May 18, 2013 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Evan Dunham | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Nov. 17, 2012 | Lightweight | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| July 11, 2012 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| May 15, 2012 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Nov. 19, 2011 | Lightweight | Gleison Tibau | Rafael Dos Anjos | Gleison Tibau | |
| July 2, 2011 | Lightweight | George Sotiropoulos | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Aug. 7, 2010 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Rafael Dos Anjos | Clay Guida | |
| April 10, 2010 | Lightweight | Terry Etim | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Jan. 11, 2010 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| Sept. 19, 2009 | Lightweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rob Emerson | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
| April 1, 2009 | Lightweight | Tyson Griffin | Rafael Dos Anjos | Tyson Griffin | |
| Nov. 15, 2008 | Lightweight | Jeremy Stephens | Rafael Dos Anjos | Jeremy Stephens |