Josh Parisian vs. Martin Buday - UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Martin Buday by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Josh Parisian
4
19
+169
Martin Buday
9
1.4
-210

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Josh Parisian Martin Buday
Main Stats
Age 34 31
Height 76" 76"
Reach 79" 77"
Win Percentage 71.43% 92.31%
Wins 15 13
Losses 7 1
Wins at Weight Class 2 3
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.40% 58.06%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.37% 49.11%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.015 8.215
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.241 5.284
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.360
Striking Impact Differential -46.20% 22.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -3.00% -5.00%
Striking Output Differential -28.60% 3.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 13.00% -28.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 65.25% 88.89%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 78.37% 135.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 42.66% 55.83%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.128 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.384 0.000
Takedown Defense 130.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.511 3.507
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.617 8.815
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.248 2.978
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.353 1.249
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.729 1.417
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.752 1.898
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.376 0.528
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.421 0.528
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.466 0.769
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.947 1.177
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.323 1.441
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.023 0.577
Josh Parisian History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 18, 2023 Heavyweight Josh Parisian Jamal Pogues Jamal Pogues
June 25, 2022 Heavyweight Josh Parisian Alan Baudot Josh Parisian
Dec. 18, 2021 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Josh Parisian Don'Tale Mayes
June 19, 2021 Heavyweight Josh Parisian Roque Martinez Josh Parisian
Nov. 28, 2020 Heavyweight Josh Parisian Parker Porter Parker Porter
Martin Buday History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 29, 2023 Heavyweight Martin Buday Jake Collier Martin Buday
Aug. 13, 2022 Heavyweight Martin Buday Lukasz Brzeski Martin Buday
April 16, 2022 Heavyweight Chris Barnett Martin Buday Martin Buday