AJ Dobson vs. Tafon Nchukwi - UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: AJ Dobson by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
AJ Dobson
7
+120
Tafon Nchukwi
13
16
15.0
-145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat AJ Dobson Tafon Nchukwi
Main Stats
Age 31 28
Height 73" 72"
Reach 76" 77"
Win Percentage 75.00% 66.67%
Wins 7 6
Losses 2 4
Wins at Weight Class 0 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.48% 57.91%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.82% 54.49%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.400 7.388
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.667 5.967
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.263
Striking Impact Differential -84.50% 40.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -44.00% 27.40%
Striking Output Differential -111.50% 49.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential -61.50% 33.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 151.52% 61.76%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 160.00% 75.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 47.06% 55.68%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.500 1.053
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.500 1.843
Takedown Defense 54.55% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 57.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.633 3.247
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.167 7.353
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.367 2.492
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.500 2.036
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.667 2.755
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.467 0.614
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.533 0.684
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.533 0.842
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.767 0.456
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.433 1.808
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.700 2.176
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.533 0.176
AJ Dobson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 Middleweight Armen Petrosyan AJ Dobson Armen Petrosyan
Feb. 12, 2022 Middleweight AJ Dobson Jacob Malkoun Jacob Malkoun
Tafon Nchukwi History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 25, 2022 Light Heavyweight Carlos Ulberg Tafon Nchukwi Carlos Ulberg
March 12, 2022 Light Heavyweight Tafon Nchukwi Azamat Murzakanov Azamat Murzakanov
Sept. 18, 2021 Light Heavyweight Mike Rodriguez Tafon Nchukwi Tafon Nchukwi
May 8, 2021 Middleweight JunYong Park Tafon Nchukwi JunYong Park
Dec. 19, 2020 Middleweight Tafon Nchukwi Jamie Pickett Tafon Nchukwi