The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Clay Guida | Rafa Garcia | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 41 | 28 | 31 | |
| Height | 67" | 67" | 70" | |
| Reach | 70" | 70" | 72" | |
| Win Percentage | 66.67% | 83.33% | 80.40% | |
| Wins | 38 | 16 | ||
| Losses | 20 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 15 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 12 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 46.21% | 49.49% | 49.36% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 33.85% | 40.20% | 43.66% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.790 | 5.116 | 5.401 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.682 | 3.265 | 3.951 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.231 | 0.000 | 1.632 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 7.38% | -11.00% | 0.48% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -3.09% | -13.33% | -0.43% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 13.76% | -22.00% | 2.10% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 1.26% | -27.00% | 0.90% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 104.77% | 117.28% | 92.46% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 181.24% | 178.34% | 115.44% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 62.22% | 58.05% | 49.74% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.616 | 0.354 | 0.474 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.926 | 4.244 | 1.648 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 8.355 | 9.371 | 4.405 | |
| Takedown Defense | 37.78% | 31.25% | 85.17% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 35.02% | 45.28% | 30.11% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.591 | 2.287 | 2.646 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.525 | 6.837 | 6.546 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.215 | 2.287 | 2.317 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.426 | 0.637 | 0.729 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.655 | 0.861 | 1.072 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.501 | 1.521 | 0.766 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.665 | 0.342 | 0.576 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.744 | 0.424 | 0.683 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.236 | 0.401 | 0.575 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.380 | 0.483 | 0.365 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.547 | 0.625 | 0.519 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.485 | 0.601 | 0.385 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Scott Holtzman | Clay Guida | |
| April 23, 2022 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Claudio Puelles | Claudio Puelles | |
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Leonardo Santos | Clay Guida | |
| Aug. 21, 2021 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Mark Madsen | Mark Madsen | |
| Feb. 6, 2021 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Clay Guida | Clay Guida | |
| June 20, 2020 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | King Green | King Green | |
| Aug. 3, 2019 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Clay Guida | Jim Miller | |
| May 11, 2019 | Lightweight | BJ Penn | Clay Guida | Clay Guida | |
| June 9, 2018 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Charles Oliveira | Charles Oliveira | |
| Nov. 11, 2017 | Lightweight | Joe Lauzon | Clay Guida | Clay Guida | |
| June 25, 2017 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Erik Koch | Clay Guida | |
| June 4, 2016 | Featherweight | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida | Brian Ortega | |
| Nov. 7, 2015 | Featherweight | Clay Guida | Thiago Tavares | Thiago Tavares | |
| April 4, 2015 | Featherweight | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta | Clay Guida | |
| July 26, 2014 | Featherweight | Clay Guida | Dennis Bermudez | Dennis Bermudez | |
| April 11, 2014 | Featherweight | Clay Guida | Tatsuya Kawajiri | Clay Guida | |
| Aug. 31, 2013 | Featherweight | Chad Mendes | Clay Guida | Chad Mendes | |
| Jan. 26, 2013 | Featherweight | Clay Guida | Hatsu Hioki | Clay Guida | |
| June 22, 2012 | Lightweight | Gray Maynard | Clay Guida | Gray Maynard | |
| Nov. 12, 2011 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Benson Henderson | Benson Henderson | |
| June 4, 2011 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Anthony Pettis | Clay Guida | |
| Jan. 1, 2011 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Takanori Gomi | Clay Guida | |
| Aug. 7, 2010 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Rafael Dos Anjos | Clay Guida | |
| March 21, 2010 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Shannon Gugerty | Clay Guida | |
| Dec. 12, 2009 | Lightweight | Kenny Florian | Clay Guida | Kenny Florian | |
| June 20, 2009 | Lightweight | Diego Sanchez | Clay Guida | Diego Sanchez | |
| Jan. 31, 2009 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Nate Diaz | Clay Guida | |
| Sept. 17, 2008 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Mac Danzig | Clay Guida | |
| April 2, 2008 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Samy Schiavo | Clay Guida | |
| Dec. 8, 2007 | Lightweight | Roger Huerta | Clay Guida | Roger Huerta | |
| Aug. 25, 2007 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Marcus Aurelio | Clay Guida | |
| June 16, 2007 | Lightweight | Tyson Griffin | Clay Guida | Tyson Griffin | |
| Jan. 25, 2007 | Lightweight | Din Thomas | Clay Guida | Din Thomas | |
| Oct. 14, 2006 | Lightweight | Clay Guida | Justin James | Clay Guida |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 17, 2022 | Lightweight | Rafa Garcia | Maheshate | Rafa Garcia | |
| July 30, 2022 | Lightweight | Drakkar Klose | Rafa Garcia | Drakkar Klose | |
| April 16, 2022 | Lightweight | Rafa Garcia | Jesse Ronson | Rafa Garcia | |
| Nov. 20, 2021 | Lightweight | Rafa Garcia | Natan Levy | Rafa Garcia | |
| July 31, 2021 | Lightweight | Chris Gruetzemacher | Rafa Garcia | Chris Gruetzemacher | |
| March 13, 2021 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Rafa Garcia | Nasrat Haqparast |