Bill Algeo vs. TJ Brown - UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Bill Algeo by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Kansas City, Missouri, USA
Elevation: 277.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Bill Algeo
18
11.4
-210
TJ Brown
14
+170

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Bill Algeo TJ Brown
Main Stats
Age 33 32
Height 72" 69"
Reach 73" 72"
Win Percentage 69.57% 65.38%
Wins 17 17
Losses 7 10
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 3 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 64.12% 54.65%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.24% 44.39%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.517 5.928
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.925 3.414
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 59.00% 23.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 19.00% 7.00%
Striking Output Differential 75.00% 50.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 31.33% 26.17%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 42.18% 50.20%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.48% 84.34%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.21% 49.79%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.640
Takedowns per Fight 0.917 3.280
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.016 6.196
Takedown Defense 84.00% 220.00%
Takedown Accuracy 45.45% 52.94%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.921 2.442
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.464 6.317
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.273 1.798
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.198 0.729
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.845 1.020
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.660 0.437
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.807 0.243
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.941 0.352
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.599 0.668
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.660 0.352
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.855 0.450
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.330 0.170
Bill Algeo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 17, 2022 Featherweight Andre Fili Bill Algeo Andre Fili
July 16, 2022 Featherweight Bill Algeo Herbert Burns Bill Algeo
Jan. 15, 2022 Featherweight Bill Algeo Joanderson Brito Bill Algeo
May 22, 2021 Featherweight Ricardo Ramos Bill Algeo Ricardo Ramos
Nov. 28, 2020 Featherweight Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo Bill Algeo
Aug. 29, 2020 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Bill Algeo Ricardo Lamas
TJ Brown History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 10, 2022 Featherweight TJ Brown Erik Silva TJ Brown
June 25, 2022 Featherweight Shayilan Nuerdanbieke TJ Brown Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Jan. 15, 2022 Lightweight TJ Brown Charles Rosa TJ Brown
May 1, 2021 Featherweight Kai Kamaka TJ Brown TJ Brown
Aug. 15, 2020 Featherweight TJ Brown Danny Chavez Danny Chavez
Feb. 29, 2020 Featherweight Jordan Griffin TJ Brown Jordan Griffin