UFC Fight Analysis: Wellington Turman vs Jared Gooden

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Wellington Turman to Win

Wellington Turman's Breakdown

Wellington Turman, moving down from middleweight to welterweight, shows a mixed bag in his UFC history. With a recent record of 3 wins and 4 losses in the UFC, including two losses via KO/TKO, Turman's durability is a concern. His striking and grappling stats reveal a decent takedown game (1.4923 takedowns per fight) but a concerning striking defense (significant striking defense percentage at 0.4640). His recent shift to welterweight needs to be monitored as weight class changes can impact performance.

Jared Gooden's Breakdown

Jared Gooden, holding a UFC record of 1 win and 3 losses, shows a tendency towards striking, with a higher strikes landed per minute rate (6.6412) compared to Turman. However, his striking defense is weaker (significant striking defense percentage at 0.4895), and he absorbs more head strikes per minute (4.8746). Gooden's recent unanimous decision losses indicate his struggles against strategic fighters.

Analysis and Key Points

Both fighters have vulnerabilities: Turman with his recent KO/TKO losses and Gooden with his striking defense. Turman's grappling could be a key factor, especially his takedown abilities against Gooden's weaker takedown defense (0.4615). Gooden's striking, particularly his leg kicks, could exploit Turman's lower body strikes absorbed per minute (0.8069). The weight class change for Turman adds an element of unpredictability.

Conclusion

Considering the stats and recent performances, Wellington Turman's grappling and experience at a higher weight class could give him an edge over Jared Gooden's striking-centric approach. Turman's ability to execute takedowns against Gooden's weaker defense could be pivotal. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Turman winning seems grounded in his grappling advantage and Gooden's defensive weaknesses.