The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Miesha Tate, a seasoned UFC fighter with notable grappling skills, has experienced a mixed bag in her recent UFC outings. She's lost three of her last five fights, with two losses by unanimous decision and a win by KO/TKO. Her striking stats show a balanced approach with decent striking accuracy, but her recent performance reveals a decline in effectiveness, particularly in striking defense. A major concern is her recent switch to Flyweight and back to Bantamweight, indicating potential issues with weight management and performance consistency.
Julia Avila, a relatively newer face in the UFC with a stronger win record in recent fights, displays a balanced skill set with a notable edge in striking output and accuracy. Her recent performance includes a win by submission and a loss by unanimous decision. Avila's striking stats are impressive, particularly in her significant striking output differential and striking impact differential, suggesting she could outperform Tate in stand-up exchanges.
Considering the recent performances and stats, Julia Avila's advantages in striking, along with her consistent performance in the Bantamweight division, position her favorably against Miesha Tate. While Tate's experience and grappling skills are noteworthy, her recent record and potential issues related to weight class changes may hinder her performance. Avila's striking prowess and recent momentum suggest she is well-positioned to secure a win in this matchup.
Stat | Miesha Tate | Julia Avila | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 37 | 35 | 33 | |
Height | 66" | 67" | 67" | |
Reach | 65" | 68" | 67" | |
Win Percentage | 67.86% | 81.82% | 74.10% | |
Wins | 20 | 9 | ||
Losses | 9 | 3 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 3 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 56.54% | 54.95% | 47.47% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 45.84% | 44.38% | 40.57% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.086 | 5.595 | 5.010 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.076 | 3.178 | 3.334 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.085 | 0.336 | 0.143 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -11.75% | 10.50% | -1.96% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -2.92% | 3.50% | 0.38% | |
Striking Output Differential | -11.08% | 17.50% | -0.80% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -3.00% | 8.00% | 1.86% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 75.97% | 70.80% | 70.35% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 118.32% | 112.68% | 95.90% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 52.65% | 55.56% | 44.09% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.929 | 0.336 | 0.446 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.183 | 0.671 | 0.901 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.323 | 2.014 | 2.729 | |
Takedown Defense | 73.08% | 62.50% | 70.31% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 22.22% | 33.33% | 25.18% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.926 | 2.171 | 1.922 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.962 | 5.886 | 5.250 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.309 | 2.260 | 1.870 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.901 | 0.604 | 0.843 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.403 | 0.828 | 1.152 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.591 | 0.336 | 0.815 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.248 | 0.403 | 0.570 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.344 | 0.448 | 0.734 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.372 | 0.269 | 0.581 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.535 | 0.671 | 0.579 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.789 | 0.962 | 0.737 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.676 | 0.246 | 0.495 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 16, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate | Lauren Murphy | |
Nov. 20, 2021 | Women's Bantamweight | Ketlen Vieira | Miesha Tate | Ketlen Vieira | |
July 17, 2021 | Women's Bantamweight | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate | Miesha Tate | |
Nov. 12, 2016 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
July 9, 2016 | UFC Women's Bantamweight Title | Miesha Tate | Amanda Nunes | Amanda Nunes | |
March 5, 2016 | UFC Women's Bantamweight Title | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate | Miesha Tate | |
July 25, 2015 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Jessica Eye | Miesha Tate | |
Jan. 31, 2015 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Sara McMann | Miesha Tate | |
Sept. 20, 2014 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Rin Nakai | Miesha Tate | |
April 19, 2014 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Liz Carmouche | Miesha Tate | |
Dec. 28, 2013 | UFC Women's Bantamweight Title | Ronda Rousey | Miesha Tate | Ronda Rousey | |
April 13, 2013 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Cat Zingano | Cat Zingano |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 26, 2021 | Women's Bantamweight | Julia Avila | Julija Stoliarenko | Julia Avila | |
Sept. 12, 2020 | Women's Bantamweight | Julia Avila | Sijara Eubanks | Sijara Eubanks | |
June 13, 2020 | Women's Bantamweight | Julia Avila | Gina Mazany | Julia Avila | |
July 6, 2019 | Women's Bantamweight | Julia Avila | Pannie Kianzad | Julia Avila |