Jalin Turner vs. King Green - UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jalin Turner by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Austin, Texas, USA
Elevation: 149.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jalin Turner
29
14
11.4
-210
King Green
12
+173

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis Jalin Turner vs Bobby Green

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Jalin Turner to Win

Background

Jalin Turner is set to face Bobby Green in a lightweight bout. Turner, with a professional record of 13 wins and 7 losses, is known for his striking skills and finishing ability. Bobby Green, a veteran with 31 wins and 14 losses, brings a wealth of experience and a well-rounded skill set to the Octagon.

Jalin Turner: Striking Power and Submission Threat

Turner's recent UFC performance demonstrates his versatility, winning multiple fights by both KO/TKO and submission. His ability to finish fights, evidenced by a high ratio of knockdowns (0.9661 per fight) and submissions (1.3525 per fight), makes him a formidable opponent. However, his recent win rate in the UFC is concerning, with a 33% win percentage in his last few bouts. This downward trend, coupled with his loss to Dan Hooker by decision, highlights potential vulnerabilities, especially in terms of endurance and handling pressure in high-stakes matches.

Bobby Green: Experience and Recent Upswing

Green’s recent UFC track record shows a mix of outcomes but includes impressive wins over notable opponents like Tony Ferguson and Grant Dawson. His striking accuracy and defense (0.5519 striking accuracy and 0.5952 striking defense percentage) are notable, suggesting his ability to land effective strikes while minimizing damage. His recent win percentage of 67% in the UFC indicates a positive trend and suggests that he's still improving and adapting his skills effectively.

Key Factors and Prediction

  1. Turner's Knockout Power: Turner's high knockdown ratio poses a significant threat to Green, especially considering Green’s history of being knocked out, like against Islam Makhachev.

  2. Green's Experience and Resilience: Green’s extensive UFC experience and recent performance indicate a fighter who can handle pressure and adapt to different fighting styles.

  3. Downward Trend for Turner: Turner’s recent UFC performance suggests a decline, potentially impacting his confidence and strategy going into the fight.

  4. Green’s Adaptability: Green's ability to bounce back from losses and win against high-caliber fighters demonstrates his resilience and tactical acumen.

WolfTicketsAI predicts a win for Jalin Turner. Despite Turner's recent losses, his knockout power and submission threat are significant. However, Green’s experience and recent performance make this an intriguing matchup. Turner’s striking and finishing ability are likely to be the decisive factors in this fight. Expect a high-paced, striking-focused battle, with Turner potentially securing a win via knockout or submission.

Conclusion

Turner’s power and versatility against Green’s experience and recent upswing make this a must-watch bout. While Turner is favored by WolfTicketsAI, Green's resilience and tactical fighting style could make for a competitive and exciting fight.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jalin Turner King Green
Main Stats
Age 28 37
Height 75" 70"
Reach 77" 71"
Win Percentage 65.00% 68.89%
Wins 14 31
Losses 7 15
Wins at Weight Class 5 12
Losses at Weight Class 3 10
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.40% 55.19%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.76% 52.54%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.608 7.106
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.359 6.244
Knockdowns per Fight 0.966 0.227
Striking Impact Differential 3.40% 32.13%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 7.60% 28.70%
Striking Output Differential 26.10% 25.52%
Significant Striking Output Differential 30.60% 21.91%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 46.59% 89.26%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 54.09% 99.76%
Striking Defense Percentage 39.82% 62.41%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.353 0.283
Takedowns per Fight 0.773 1.133
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.546 2.890
Takedown Defense 32.26% 39.22%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 39.22%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.542 3.668
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.721 8.534
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.409 2.252
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.546 1.545
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.113 2.093
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.760 0.790
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.271 1.031
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.386 1.258
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.211 0.710
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.593 0.623
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.812 0.722
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.438 0.246
Jalin Turner History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 8, 2023 Lightweight Jalin Turner Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
March 4, 2023 Lightweight Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner Mateusz Gamrot
July 2, 2022 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
March 5, 2022 Lightweight Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey Jalin Turner
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Uros Medic Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Sept. 12, 2020 Catch Weight Brok Weaver Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Jalin Turner Josh Culibao Jalin Turner
April 13, 2019 Lightweight Jalin Turner Matt Frevola Matt Frevola
Feb. 9, 2019 Lightweight Callan Potter Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Oct. 6, 2018 Welterweight Vicente Luque Jalin Turner Vicente Luque
King Green History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 7, 2023 Lightweight Grant Dawson King Green King Green
July 29, 2023 Lightweight Tony Ferguson King Green King Green
April 22, 2023 Lightweight King Green Jared Gordon None
Dec. 17, 2022 Lightweight Drew Dober King Green Drew Dober
Feb. 26, 2022 Catch Weight Islam Makhachev King Green Islam Makhachev
Feb. 12, 2022 Lightweight King Green Nasrat Haqparast King Green
Nov. 6, 2021 Lightweight Al Iaquinta King Green King Green
Aug. 7, 2021 Lightweight King Green Rafael Fiziev Rafael Fiziev
Oct. 31, 2020 Lightweight King Green Thiago Moises Thiago Moises
Sept. 12, 2020 Lightweight King Green Alan Patrick King Green
Aug. 1, 2020 Lightweight Lando Vannata King Green King Green
June 20, 2020 Lightweight Clay Guida King Green King Green
Nov. 16, 2019 Lightweight Francisco Trinaldo King Green Francisco Trinaldo
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight King Green Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
Jan. 27, 2018 Lightweight Erik Koch King Green King Green
Oct. 7, 2017 Lightweight Lando Vannata King Green None
April 15, 2017 Lightweight King Green Rashid Magomedov Rashid Magomedov
June 4, 2016 Lightweight Dustin Poirier King Green Dustin Poirier
Nov. 22, 2014 Lightweight King Green Edson Barboza Edson Barboza
July 26, 2014 Lightweight Josh Thomson King Green King Green
Dec. 14, 2013 Lightweight King Green Pat Healy King Green
Nov. 6, 2013 Lightweight King Green James Krause King Green
Feb. 2, 2013 Lightweight Jacob Volkmann King Green King Green