Drakkar Klose vs. Joe Solecki - UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Drakkar Klose by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Austin, Texas, USA
Elevation: 149.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Drakkar Klose
22
12
16
22.6
-130
Joe Solecki
+110

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Drakkar Klose vs Joe Solecki

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Drakkar Klose to Win

Drakkar Klose's Breakdown

Drakkar Klose boasts a solid UFC record with notable victories, including a recent KO/TKO win over Brandon Jenkins. His striking game, exemplified by a higher Strikes Landed per Minute (6.5980) and Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (4.3758), is a key strength. Despite a loss to Beneil Dariush by KO/TKO, Klose's overall performance shows adaptability and resilience. He effectively utilizes leg kicks, demonstrated in his fights against Jenkins and Rafa Garcia, and has a decent takedown defense ratio (0.4400), though there's room for improvement.

Joe Solecki's Breakdown

Joe Solecki, with a strong grappling base, is a submission specialist, evident in his Submissions per Fight (1.4234) and impressive ground control, as seen in his recent submission win over Carl Deaton. His stand-up game, while not as dominant as Klose's, is competent, marked by a calculated approach in striking, shown in his fight against Alex Da Silva. Solecki's takedown game is robust, with a Takedown Accuracy of 0.4800, posing a threat if the fight goes to the ground.

Analysis and Key Points

Klose's striking prowess and recent KO/TKO victory highlight his stand-up skills. His ability to land significant strikes and maintain a higher striking output could be decisive. Solecki’s grappling and submission skills are formidable, but his stand-up game might struggle against Klose's striking. The fight could hinge on Klose's takedown defense and Solecki's ability to take the fight to the ground.

Conclusion

Considering Klose's striking advantage, recent performance, and resilience, coupled with Solecki's grappling skills and lesser striking capability, the prediction leans towards Klose. His ability to control the fight's pace and keep it standing gives him the edge in this matchup. However, Solecki's ground game remains a significant threat if he manages to overcome Klose's defenses.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Drakkar Klose Joe Solecki
Main Stats
Age 35 30
Height 69" 69"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 86.67% 81.25%
Wins 14 13
Losses 2 4
Wins at Weight Class 7 5
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 62.93% 71.77%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.08% 55.33%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.598 6.995
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.376 2.183
Knockdowns per Fight 0.257 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 19.33% 48.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 12.11% 7.33%
Striking Output Differential 16.67% 58.17%
Significant Striking Output Differential 8.33% 7.83%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 62.03% 28.29%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.24% 78.88%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.88% 52.05%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.423
Takedowns per Fight 1.802 2.440
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.920 5.084
Takedown Defense 44.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 30.43% 48.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.257 1.817
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.526 3.525
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.562 0.935
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.287 0.176
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.424 0.231
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.047 0.407
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.832 0.190
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.995 0.190
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.832 0.244
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.493 0.163
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.768 0.203
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.652 0.298
Drakkar Klose History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 30, 2022 Lightweight Drakkar Klose Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose
April 16, 2022 Lightweight Drakkar Klose Brandon Jenkins Drakkar Klose
March 7, 2020 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose Beneil Dariush
Aug. 17, 2019 Lightweight Christos Giagos Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight King Green Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
July 7, 2018 Lightweight Lando Vannata Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
Dec. 2, 2017 Lightweight David Teymur Drakkar Klose David Teymur
July 7, 2017 Lightweight Marc Diakiese Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
Jan. 15, 2017 Lightweight Devin Powell Drakkar Klose Drakkar Klose
Joe Solecki History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 25, 2023 Lightweight Joe Solecki Carl Deaton Joe Solecki
June 4, 2022 Lightweight Joe Solecki Alex Da Silva Joe Solecki
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Joe Solecki Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
April 10, 2021 Lightweight Jim Miller Joe Solecki Joe Solecki
Aug. 22, 2020 Lightweight Austin Hubbard Joe Solecki Joe Solecki
Dec. 7, 2019 Lightweight Joe Solecki Matt Wiman Joe Solecki