The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Beneil Dariush, a seasoned lightweight, brings a well-rounded skill set to the octagon. With a recent loss to Charles Oliveira via KO/TKO, there's a notable vulnerability in Dariush's game against high-caliber strikers, as evidenced by his history of losses predominantly by KO/TKO. Despite this, Dariush has shown resilience and adaptability, bouncing back from setbacks to secure wins against tough competitors like Mateusz Gamrot and Tony Ferguson. His striking and grappling statistics reflect his balanced approach, yet recent bouts highlight a potential decline in his ability to absorb damage, especially concerning given Tsarukyan's aggressive striking style.
Arman Tsarukyan is a rising star in the lightweight division, known for his explosive striking and relentless pressure. His recent victories, particularly the TKO win over Joaquim Silva, demonstrate his knockout power and ability to control the pace of the fight. Tsarukyan's stats reveal his proficiency in takedowns and striking, with a significant edge in striking output differential and accuracy compared to Dariush. His loss to Gamrot, a common opponent with Dariush, was by decision, indicating his endurance in grueling matches. Tsarukyan's recent performances suggest a fighter on the ascent, with increasing confidence and skill in each outing.
Considering the recent performances and statistics of both fighters, Tsarukyan's aggressive and precise striking, combined with his ability to execute takedowns effectively, positions him as the likely victor against Dariush. While Dariush's experience and versatility are formidable, his recent KO/TKO loss and decreasing ability to absorb significant strikes tilt the odds in Tsarukyan's favor. Therefore, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Tsarukyan winning aligns with the analysis of both fighters' recent fights and overall capabilities.
Stat | Beneil Dariush | Arman Tsarukyan | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 34 | 27 | 31 | |
Height | 70" | 67" | 70" | |
Reach | 72" | 72" | 72" | |
Win Percentage | 81.48% | 86.96% | 80.09% | |
Wins | 22 | 21 | ||
Losses | 6 | 3 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 16 | 7 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 53.75% | 58.59% | 48.41% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 49.11% | 48.00% | 42.73% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.065 | 6.571 | 5.257 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.789 | 3.820 | 3.840 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.515 | 0.245 | 1.108 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 11.45% | 39.44% | 2.73% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 10.77% | 26.00% | 0.90% | |
Striking Output Differential | 16.09% | 69.89% | 4.13% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 13.41% | 51.78% | 1.94% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 76.16% | 36.65% | 85.86% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 96.11% | 58.76% | 108.93% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 58.10% | 54.03% | 48.14% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.883 | 0.000 | 0.482 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.914 | 3.428 | 1.542 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.595 | 9.427 | 4.157 | |
Takedown Defense | 23.68% | 33.33% | 83.55% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 34.21% | 36.36% | 29.17% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.322 | 2.432 | 2.472 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.811 | 6.162 | 6.235 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.625 | 1.233 | 2.279 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.883 | 0.906 | 0.801 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.242 | 1.233 | 1.161 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.736 | 0.539 | 0.757 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.584 | 0.482 | 0.566 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.663 | 0.563 | 0.673 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.265 | 0.139 | 0.568 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.604 | 0.286 | 0.385 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.908 | 0.408 | 0.547 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.407 | 0.359 | 0.393 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2023 | Lightweight | Charles Oliveira | Beneil Dariush | Charles Oliveira | |
Oct. 22, 2022 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Mateusz Gamrot | Beneil Dariush | |
May 15, 2021 | Lightweight | Tony Ferguson | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
Feb. 6, 2021 | Lightweight | Diego Ferreira | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
Aug. 8, 2020 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Scott Holtzman | Beneil Dariush | |
March 7, 2020 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Drakkar Klose | Beneil Dariush | |
Oct. 26, 2019 | Lightweight | Frank Camacho | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
March 9, 2019 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober | Beneil Dariush | |
Nov. 10, 2018 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises | Beneil Dariush | |
March 3, 2018 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | |
Oct. 7, 2017 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Evan Dunham | None | |
March 11, 2017 | Lightweight | Edson Barboza | Beneil Dariush | Edson Barboza | |
Nov. 5, 2016 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Rashid Magomedov | Beneil Dariush | |
June 4, 2016 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | James Vick | Beneil Dariush | |
April 16, 2016 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
Aug. 8, 2015 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
April 18, 2015 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
March 14, 2015 | Lightweight | Daron Cruickshank | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
Oct. 25, 2014 | Lightweight | Diego Ferreira | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
Aug. 23, 2014 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Anthony Rocco Martin | Beneil Dariush | |
April 11, 2014 | Lightweight | Ramsey Nijem | Beneil Dariush | Ramsey Nijem | |
Jan. 15, 2014 | Lightweight | Charlie Brenneman | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 17, 2023 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Joaquim Silva | Arman Tsarukyan | |
Dec. 17, 2022 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Damir Ismagulov | Arman Tsarukyan | |
June 25, 2022 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Mateusz Gamrot | Mateusz Gamrot | |
Feb. 26, 2022 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez | Arman Tsarukyan | |
Sept. 18, 2021 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos | Arman Tsarukyan | |
Jan. 23, 2021 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola | Arman Tsarukyan | |
July 18, 2020 | Lightweight | Davi Ramos | Arman Tsarukyan | Arman Tsarukyan | |
July 27, 2019 | Lightweight | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Arman Tsarukyan | Arman Tsarukyan | |
April 20, 2019 | Lightweight | Islam Makhachev | Arman Tsarukyan | Islam Makhachev |