Karl Williams vs. Chase Sherman - UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Karl Williams by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina, USA
Elevation: 237.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Karl Williams
28
16
24
-1.8
-425
Chase Sherman
+315

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Karl Williams Chase Sherman
Main Stats
Age 33 33
Height 75" 76"
Reach 79" 78"
Win Percentage 88.89% 59.26%
Wins 9 16
Losses 1 12
Wins at Weight Class 1 4
Losses at Weight Class 0 10
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 71.43% 48.29%
Significant Striking Accuracy 65.52% 46.38%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.000 6.819
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.533 6.296
Knockdowns per Fight 1.000 0.310
Striking Impact Differential 71.00% -5.93%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 12.00% -5.79%
Striking Output Differential 96.00% -8.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 12.00% -7.07%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 19.17% 109.99%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 52.63% 117.60%
Striking Defense Percentage 43.48% 51.93%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 8.000 0.103
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 13.000 0.206
Takedown Defense 100.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 61.54% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.067 3.475
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.333 10.115
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.267 5.298
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.267 1.301
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.333 1.700
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.333 0.956
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.200 1.521
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.200 1.762
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.133 0.599
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.133 0.406
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.333 0.564
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.267 0.495
Karl Williams History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 11, 2023 Heavyweight Karl Williams Lukasz Brzeski Karl Williams
Chase Sherman History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta Waldo Cortes-Acosta
July 9, 2022 Heavyweight Jared Vanderaa Chase Sherman Chase Sherman
April 30, 2022 Heavyweight Alexandr Romanov Chase Sherman Alexandr Romanov
Jan. 15, 2022 Heavyweight Jake Collier Chase Sherman Jake Collier
Aug. 21, 2021 Heavyweight Parker Porter Chase Sherman Parker Porter
April 17, 2021 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Chase Sherman Andrei Arlovski
May 13, 2020 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Ike Villanueva Chase Sherman
Sept. 22, 2018 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Chase Sherman Augusto Sakai
April 21, 2018 Heavyweight Justin Willis Chase Sherman Justin Willis
Nov. 25, 2017 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
July 22, 2017 Heavyweight Damian Grabowski Chase Sherman Chase Sherman
May 13, 2017 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Rashad Coulter Chase Sherman
Jan. 15, 2017 Heavyweight Walt Harris Chase Sherman Walt Harris
Aug. 6, 2016 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Justin Ledet Justin Ledet