Daniel Rodriguez vs. Ian Machado Garry - UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ian Machado Garry by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina, USA
Elevation: 237.00m
Weight Class: Welterweightt
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Daniel Rodriguez
13
+240
Ian Machado Garry
26
5
4.2
-300

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Rodriguez Ian Machado Garry
Main Stats
Age 36 25
Height 73" 75"
Reach 74" 74"
Win Percentage 85.00% 100.00%
Wins 17 12
Losses 4 0
Wins at Weight Class 6 4
Losses at Weight Class 2 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.53% 57.74%
Significant Striking Accuracy 50.76% 56.21%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.050 7.254
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.450 6.788
Knockdowns per Fight 0.581 0.912
Striking Impact Differential 25.33% 27.75%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 27.44% 32.00%
Striking Output Differential 31.44% 34.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 35.00% 41.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 83.77% 65.36%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.18% 67.16%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.49% 52.08%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.145 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.145 0.304
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.726 0.608
Takedown Defense 57.14% 57.14%
Takedown Accuracy 20.00% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 5.157 4.114
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.940 8.977
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.632 1.662
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.026 1.418
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.374 1.783
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.364 0.871
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.268 1.256
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.364 1.317
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.064 1.662
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.097 0.243
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.136 0.345
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.126 0.324
Daniel Rodriguez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 5, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny
Sept. 10, 2022 Catch Weight Li Jingliang Daniel Rodriguez Daniel Rodriguez
Aug. 28, 2021 Welterweight Kevin Lee Daniel Rodriguez Daniel Rodriguez
July 17, 2021 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Preston Parsons Daniel Rodriguez
April 10, 2021 Welterweight Mike Perry Daniel Rodriguez Daniel Rodriguez
Nov. 21, 2020 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Nicolas Dalby Nicolas Dalby
Aug. 22, 2020 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Dwight Grant Daniel Rodriguez
May 30, 2020 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Gabe Green Daniel Rodriguez
Feb. 15, 2020 Welterweight Tim Means Daniel Rodriguez Daniel Rodriguez
Ian Machado Garry History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 4, 2023 Welterweight Ian Machado Garry Song Kenan Ian Machado Garry
July 2, 2022 Welterweight Ian Machado Garry Gabe Green Ian Machado Garry
April 9, 2022 Welterweight Ian Machado Garry Darian Weeks Ian Machado Garry
Nov. 6, 2021 Welterweight Ian Machado Garry Jordan Williams Ian Machado Garry