Neil Magny vs. Phil Rowe - UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Neil Magny by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Elevation: 5.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Neil Magny
6
19
16
-0.1
-165
Phil Rowe
+135

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Neil Magny Phil Rowe
Main Stats
Age 35 32
Height 75" 75"
Reach 80" 80"
Win Percentage 71.05% 76.92%
Wins 28 10
Losses 11 4
Wins at Weight Class 20 3
Losses at Weight Class 9 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.18% 49.29%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.21% 47.46%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.220 3.842
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.586 3.531
Knockdowns per Fight 0.083 0.666
Striking Impact Differential 34.24% -45.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 16.66% -12.75%
Striking Output Differential 54.28% -70.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 35.17% -34.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 46.12% 160.12%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.08% 165.41%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.43% 55.60%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.290 0.666
Takedowns per Fight 2.400 0.999
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.668 2.665
Takedown Defense 75.47% 88.89%
Takedown Accuracy 42.34% 37.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.499 2.532
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.319 6.262
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.379 2.754
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.706 0.622
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.941 0.777
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.364 0.799
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.381 0.378
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.499 0.400
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.510 1.110
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.687 0.466
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.874 0.533
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.240 0.466
Neil Magny History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 21, 2023 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Neil Magny Gilbert Burns
Nov. 5, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny
June 25, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Shavkat Rakhmonov Shavkat Rakhmonov
March 26, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Max Griffin Neil Magny
May 8, 2021 Welterweight Neil Magny Geoff Neal Neil Magny
Jan. 20, 2021 Welterweight Michael Chiesa Neil Magny Michael Chiesa
Aug. 29, 2020 Welterweight Robbie Lawler Neil Magny Neil Magny
June 6, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Anthony Rocco Martin Neil Magny
March 7, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Li Jingliang Neil Magny
Nov. 17, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio Santiago Ponzinibbio
May 27, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Craig White Neil Magny
Dec. 30, 2017 Welterweight Carlos Condit Neil Magny Neil Magny
Sept. 9, 2017 Welterweight Neil Magny Rafael Dos Anjos Rafael Dos Anjos
Dec. 30, 2016 Welterweight Johny Hendricks Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 20, 2016 Welterweight Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin Lorenz Larkin
March 19, 2016 Welterweight Hector Lombard Neil Magny Neil Magny
Nov. 21, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kelvin Gastelum Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Erick Silva Neil Magny
Aug. 1, 2015 Welterweight Demian Maia Neil Magny Demian Maia
May 16, 2015 Welterweight Hyun Gyu Lim Neil Magny Neil Magny
Feb. 14, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kiichi Kunimoto Neil Magny
Oct. 25, 2014 Welterweight William Macario Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Alex Garcia Neil Magny
June 28, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Rodrigo de Lima Neil Magny
May 10, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Tim Means Neil Magny
Feb. 1, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Gasan Umalatov Neil Magny
Nov. 6, 2013 Welterweight Neil Magny Seth Baczynski Seth Baczynski
Aug. 3, 2013 Welterweight Sergio Moraes Neil Magny Sergio Moraes
Feb. 23, 2013 Welterweight Jon Manley Neil Magny Neil Magny
Phil Rowe History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 3, 2022 Welterweight Niko Price Phil Rowe Phil Rowe
Feb. 5, 2022 Welterweight Jason Witt Phil Rowe Phil Rowe
July 31, 2021 Welterweight Phil Rowe Orion Cosce Phil Rowe
Feb. 13, 2021 Welterweight Gabe Green Phil Rowe Gabe Green