Mateusz Rebecki vs. Loik Radzhabov - UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Mateusz Rebecki by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Elevation: 5.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mateusz Rebecki
7
21
-145
Loik Radzhabov
10
24.7
+120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mateusz Rebecki Loik Radzhabov
Main Stats
Age 30 32
Height 67" 71"
Reach 66" 69"
Win Percentage 94.44% 81.82%
Wins 18 17
Losses 1 5
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 57.02% 57.26%
Significant Striking Accuracy 52.05% 47.06%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.667 4.467
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.933 2.667
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 78.00% -31.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 55.00% -26.00%
Striking Output Differential 115.00% -45.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 78.00% -44.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 46.92% 95.52%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.29% 157.50%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.44% 48.84%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 3.000 11.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.000 21.000
Takedown Defense 50.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 75.00% 52.38%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.533 2.200
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.333 5.200
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.667 3.467
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.800 0.400
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.467 0.400
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.467 0.733
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.600 0.067
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.600 0.067
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.133 0.200
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.267 0.067
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.667 0.133
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.333 0.067
Mateusz Rebecki History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 14, 2023 Lightweight Mateusz Rebecki Nick Fiore Mateusz Rebecki
Loik Radzhabov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 4, 2023 Lightweight Esteban Ribovics Loik Radzhabov Loik Radzhabov