Josh Emmett vs. Ilia Topuria - UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ilia Topuria by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Elevation: 5.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Josh Emmett
+260
Ilia Topuria
27
3
11
2.7
-325

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Josh Emmett Ilia Topuria
Main Stats
Age 38 26
Height 66" 67"
Reach 70" 69"
Win Percentage 85.71% 100.00%
Wins 18 14
Losses 4 0
Wins at Weight Class 7 4
Losses at Weight Class 1 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 39.39% 53.27%
Significant Striking Accuracy 37.83% 49.59%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.543 4.441
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.166 3.324
Knockdowns per Fight 1.071 1.226
Striking Impact Differential -7.08% -0.40%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -3.42% 4.20%
Striking Output Differential -11.42% -8.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential -8.92% -4.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 161.29% 111.66%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 174.61% 136.07%
Striking Defense Percentage 62.14% 62.17%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.097 2.452
Takedowns per Fight 1.071 2.452
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.823 5.313
Takedown Defense 71.43% 7.69%
Takedown Accuracy 37.93% 46.15%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.732 2.207
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.066 4.932
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.076 1.744
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.844 0.926
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.278 1.553
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.746 0.681
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.591 0.191
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.668 0.218
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.610 0.327
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.273 0.164
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.363 0.273
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.260 0.136
Josh Emmett History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 11, 2023 UFC Interim Featherweight Title Yair Rodriguez Josh Emmett Yair Rodriguez
June 18, 2022 Featherweight Calvin Kattar Josh Emmett Josh Emmett
Dec. 11, 2021 Featherweight Josh Emmett Dan Ige Josh Emmett
June 20, 2020 Featherweight Josh Emmett Shane Burgos Josh Emmett
July 13, 2019 Featherweight Josh Emmett Mirsad Bektic Josh Emmett
March 30, 2019 Featherweight Josh Emmett Michael Johnson Josh Emmett
Feb. 24, 2018 Featherweight Josh Emmett Jeremy Stephens Jeremy Stephens
Dec. 16, 2017 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Josh Emmett Josh Emmett
Oct. 21, 2017 Featherweight Felipe Arantes Josh Emmett Josh Emmett
April 8, 2017 Lightweight Josh Emmett Desmond Green Desmond Green
Dec. 17, 2016 Lightweight Josh Emmett Scott Holtzman Josh Emmett
May 8, 2016 Lightweight Jon Tuck Josh Emmett Josh Emmett
Ilia Topuria History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 10, 2022 Featherweight Bryce Mitchell Ilia Topuria Ilia Topuria
March 19, 2022 Lightweight Jai Herbert Ilia Topuria Ilia Topuria
July 10, 2021 Featherweight Ryan Hall Ilia Topuria Ilia Topuria
Dec. 5, 2020 Featherweight Ilia Topuria Damon Jackson Ilia Topuria
Oct. 10, 2020 Featherweight Youssef Zalal Ilia Topuria Ilia Topuria