Darren Elkins vs. TJ Brown - UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Darren Elkins by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Darren Elkins
+185
TJ Brown
23
3
0
9.9
-225

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Darren Elkins TJ Brown
Main Stats
Age 39 33
Height 70" 69"
Reach 71" 72"
Win Percentage 71.05% 62.96%
Wins 28 17
Losses 11 11
Wins at Weight Class 16 2
Losses at Weight Class 9 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.63% 54.41%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.28% 45.17%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.546 6.035
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.535 3.675
Knockdowns per Fight 0.094 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 31.04% 16.29%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.15% 3.43%
Striking Output Differential 59.44% 39.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 26.85% 19.71%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 51.16% 54.19%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 102.04% 86.54%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.83% 48.29%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.082 1.517
Takedowns per Fight 2.729 3.203
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.998 6.069
Takedown Defense 71.88% 240.00%
Takedown Accuracy 34.12% 52.78%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.682 2.641
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.950 6.720
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.412 2.158
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.696 0.764
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.079 1.045
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.546 0.472
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.157 0.270
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.204 0.371
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.395 0.775
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.750 0.472
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.113 0.584
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.483 0.214
Darren Elkins History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 3, 2022 Featherweight Darren Elkins Jonathan Pearce Jonathan Pearce
April 30, 2022 Featherweight Darren Elkins Tristan Connelly Darren Elkins
Dec. 18, 2021 Featherweight Cub Swanson Darren Elkins Cub Swanson
July 24, 2021 Featherweight Darren Elkins Darrick Minner Darren Elkins
Nov. 7, 2020 Featherweight Darren Elkins Eduardo Garagorri Darren Elkins
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Darren Elkins Nate Landwehr Nate Landwehr
July 13, 2019 Featherweight Darren Elkins Ryan Hall Ryan Hall
Nov. 17, 2018 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins Ricardo Lamas
July 14, 2018 Featherweight Darren Elkins Alexander Volkanovski Alexander Volkanovski
Jan. 14, 2018 Featherweight Darren Elkins Michael Johnson Darren Elkins
July 22, 2017 Featherweight Dennis Bermudez Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
March 4, 2017 Featherweight Mirsad Bektic Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
July 23, 2016 Featherweight Darren Elkins Godofredo Pepey Darren Elkins
March 5, 2016 Featherweight Darren Elkins Chas Skelly Darren Elkins
Oct. 24, 2015 Featherweight Darren Elkins Robert Whiteford Darren Elkins
Dec. 20, 2014 Featherweight Darren Elkins Hacran Dias Hacran Dias
Oct. 25, 2014 Featherweight Darren Elkins Lucas Martins Darren Elkins
Jan. 25, 2014 Featherweight Darren Elkins Jeremy Stephens Jeremy Stephens
Aug. 28, 2013 Featherweight Darren Elkins Hatsu Hioki Darren Elkins
April 20, 2013 Featherweight Chad Mendes Darren Elkins Chad Mendes
March 16, 2013 Featherweight Antonio Carvalho Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
Nov. 17, 2012 Featherweight Steven Siler Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
May 26, 2012 Featherweight Diego Brandao Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
Oct. 8, 2011 Featherweight Zhang Tiequan Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
June 11, 2011 Featherweight Darren Elkins Michihiro Omigawa Darren Elkins
Aug. 1, 2010 Lightweight Darren Elkins Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
March 21, 2010 Lightweight Duane Ludwig Darren Elkins Darren Elkins
TJ Brown History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 15, 2023 Featherweight Bill Algeo TJ Brown Bill Algeo
Dec. 10, 2022 Featherweight TJ Brown Erik Silva TJ Brown
June 25, 2022 Featherweight Shayilan Nuerdanbieke TJ Brown Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Jan. 15, 2022 Lightweight TJ Brown Charles Rosa TJ Brown
May 1, 2021 Featherweight Kai Kamaka TJ Brown TJ Brown
Aug. 15, 2020 Featherweight TJ Brown Danny Chavez Danny Chavez
Feb. 29, 2020 Featherweight Jordan Griffin TJ Brown Jordan Griffin