Said Nurmagomedov vs. Jonathan Martinez - UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jonathan Martinez by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Said Nurmagomedov
12
10
6.5
-200
Jonathan Martinez
+169

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Said Nurmagomedov Jonathan Martinez
Main Stats
Age 30 28
Height 68" 68"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 89.47% 80.95%
Wins 17 18
Losses 3 4
Wins at Weight Class 5 6
Losses at Weight Class 1 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.33% 50.73%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.77% 49.17%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.230 5.224
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.642 4.843
Knockdowns per Fight 0.259 0.713
Striking Impact Differential 19.57% 11.82%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 13.14% 12.91%
Striking Output Differential 28.71% 5.18%
Significant Striking Output Differential 21.57% 5.73%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.97% 106.63%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 90.52% 114.45%
Striking Defense Percentage 61.61% 58.83%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.036 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.518 0.510
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.437 1.121
Takedown Defense 57.14% 42.11%
Takedown Accuracy 9.52% 45.45%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.985 2.812
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.852 7.098
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.846 1.644
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.777 1.189
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.122 1.712
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.466 1.304
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.880 0.842
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.984 1.039
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.742 0.931
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.552 0.313
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.742 0.374
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.155 0.523
Said Nurmagomedov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 17, 2022 Bantamweight Said Nurmagomedov Saidyokub Kakhramonov Said Nurmagomedov
July 9, 2022 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
Jan. 22, 2022 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
Oct. 17, 2020 Bantamweight Said Nurmagomedov Mark Striegl Said Nurmagomedov
Dec. 21, 2019 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov Raoni Barcelos
Feb. 2, 2019 Bantamweight Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
July 14, 2018 Flyweight Justin Scoggins Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
Jonathan Martinez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 15, 2022 Bantamweight Cub Swanson Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
May 21, 2022 Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez Vince Morales Jonathan Martinez
Feb. 26, 2022 Featherweight Alejandro Perez Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Oct. 23, 2021 Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez Zviad Lazishvili Jonathan Martinez
March 13, 2021 Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez Davey Grant Davey Grant
Oct. 17, 2020 Featherweight Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Aug. 1, 2020 Bantamweight Frankie Saenz Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Feb. 8, 2020 Bantamweight Andre Ewell Jonathan Martinez Andre Ewell
July 13, 2019 Bantamweight Pingyuan Liu Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Feb. 9, 2019 Bantamweight Wulijiburen Jonathan Martinez Jonathan Martinez
Oct. 27, 2018 Bantamweight Andre Soukhamthath Jonathan Martinez Andre Soukhamthath