The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Raphael Assuncao | Davey Grant | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 40 | 37 | 31 | |
| Height | 65" | 68" | 68" | |
| Reach | 66" | 69" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.68% | 70.00% | 79.67% | |
| Wins | 28 | 15 | ||
| Losses | 10 | 6 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 12 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 4 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 47.58% | 47.28% | 50.01% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 42.73% | 44.19% | 43.98% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.313 | 5.560 | 5.435 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.507 | 4.832 | 4.024 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.141 | 0.400 | 0.463 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 15.11% | 9.40% | 5.56% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 10.22% | 9.10% | 2.84% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 6.94% | 20.00% | 7.69% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 2.39% | 19.60% | 4.87% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 126.23% | 94.57% | 98.33% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 152.96% | 106.99% | 123.87% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 67.02% | 56.23% | 54.61% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.141 | 0.133 | 0.490 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.344 | 1.599 | 1.696 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.536 | 3.731 | 4.125 | |
| Takedown Defense | 26.67% | 53.33% | 75.31% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 38.00% | 42.86% | 32.33% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.895 | 2.292 | 2.540 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.959 | 7.426 | 6.902 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.160 | 2.460 | 2.304 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.556 | 1.661 | 0.830 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.891 | 2.452 | 1.251 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.660 | 1.022 | 0.770 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.056 | 0.879 | 0.655 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.358 | 1.057 | 0.806 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.820 | 0.542 | 0.629 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.363 | 0.391 | 0.404 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.528 | 0.648 | 0.561 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.118 | 0.346 | 0.365 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 15, 2022 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Victor Henry | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Dec. 18, 2021 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Ricky Simon | Ricky Simon | |
| June 6, 2020 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Cody Garbrandt | Cody Garbrandt | |
| Aug. 17, 2019 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Cory Sandhagen | Cory Sandhagen | |
| Feb. 2, 2019 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Marlon Moraes | Marlon Moraes | |
| July 7, 2018 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Rob Font | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Nov. 11, 2017 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Matthew Lopez | Raphael Assuncao | |
| June 3, 2017 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Marlon Moraes | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Aljamain Sterling | Raphael Assuncao | |
| July 9, 2016 | Bantamweight | TJ Dillashaw | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw | |
| Oct. 4, 2014 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Bryan Caraway | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Feb. 22, 2014 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Pedro Munhoz | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Oct. 9, 2013 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw | Raphael Assuncao | |
| June 8, 2013 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Dec. 8, 2012 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Mike Easton | Raphael Assuncao | |
| July 11, 2012 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Issei Tamura | Raphael Assuncao | |
| Aug. 27, 2011 | Bantamweight | Raphael Assuncao | Johnny Eduardo | Raphael Assuncao | |
| March 19, 2011 | Featherweight | Erik Koch | Raphael Assuncao | Erik Koch |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2022 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka | Davey Grant | |
| Nov. 20, 2021 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Adrian Yanez | Adrian Yanez | |
| June 19, 2021 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | |
| March 13, 2021 | Bantamweight | Jonathan Martinez | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| July 11, 2020 | Bantamweight | Martin Day | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| Nov. 9, 2019 | Bantamweight | Grigory Popov | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| July 22, 2018 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Manny Bermudez | Manny Bermudez | |
| Oct. 8, 2016 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Damian Stasiak | Damian Stasiak | |
| Feb. 27, 2016 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | |
| Nov. 30, 2013 | Ultimate Fighter 18 Bantamweight Tournament Title | Chris Holdsworth | Davey Grant | Chris Holdsworth |