Kyle Daukaus vs. Jamie Pickett - UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Kyle Daukaus by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Catch Weight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Kyle Daukaus
26
11
1.6
-345
Jamie Pickett
+220

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Kyle Daukaus Jamie Pickett
Main Stats
Age 28 33
Height 75" 74"
Reach 76" 80"
Win Percentage 83.33% 68.42%
Wins 15 13
Losses 2 7
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.61% 48.75%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.09% 46.38%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.665 3.386
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.771 3.061
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -19.75% -34.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.75% -20.25%
Striking Output Differential -7.25% -33.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 9.50% -17.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 44.20% 103.21%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 70.37% 107.80%
Striking Defense Percentage 40.08% 40.64%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.232 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.847 1.628
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.390 3.256
Takedown Defense 22.22% 8.33%
Takedown Accuracy 25.00% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.258 1.628
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.906 4.797
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.827 2.931
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.390 1.107
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.575 1.389
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.821 1.628
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.123 0.326
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.164 0.412
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.267 0.261
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.452 0.695
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.554 0.912
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.718 1.845
Kyle Daukaus History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Middleweight Kevin Holland Kyle Daukaus None
May 8, 2021 Middleweight Phil Hawes Kyle Daukaus Phil Hawes
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Kyle Daukaus Dustin Stoltzfus Kyle Daukaus
June 27, 2020 Middleweight Brendan Allen Kyle Daukaus Brendan Allen
Jamie Pickett History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 15, 2022 Middleweight Jamie Pickett Joseph Holmes Jamie Pickett
Oct. 23, 2021 Middleweight Jamie Pickett Laureano Staropoli Jamie Pickett
May 15, 2021 Middleweight Jordan Wright Jamie Pickett Jordan Wright
Dec. 19, 2020 Middleweight Tafon Nchukwi Jamie Pickett Tafon Nchukwi