Chas Skelly vs. Mark Striegl - UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Chas Skelly by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Chas Skelly
6
18
-7.1
-225
Mark Striegl
+160

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Chas Skelly Mark Striegl
Main Stats
Age 36 33
Height 71" 68"
Reach 72" 70"
Win Percentage 85.71% 85.71%
Wins 19 18
Losses 3 4
Wins at Weight Class 7 0
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.30% 42.86%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.38% 42.86%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.688 3.529
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.015 3.529
Knockdowns per Fight 0.143 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -18.55% -15.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -12.73% -15.00%
Striking Output Differential -21.55% -17.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -14.91% -17.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.13% 200.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 158.96% 200.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.91% 25.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.424 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.711 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.991 17.647
Takedown Defense 200.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 34.29% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.740 1.177
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.515 5.882
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.557 20.000
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.219 0.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.418 0.000
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.447 0.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.057 2.353
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.057 2.353
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.342 1.177
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.485 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.646 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.532 4.706
Chas Skelly History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 14, 2019 Featherweight Chas Skelly Jordan Griffin Chas Skelly
Nov. 10, 2018 Featherweight Chas Skelly Bobby Moffett None
May 13, 2017 Featherweight Chas Skelly Jason Knight Jason Knight
Feb. 4, 2017 Featherweight Chas Skelly Chris Gruetzemacher Chas Skelly
Sept. 17, 2016 Featherweight Chas Skelly Maximo Blanco Chas Skelly
March 5, 2016 Featherweight Darren Elkins Chas Skelly Darren Elkins
Nov. 7, 2015 Featherweight Edimilson Souza Chas Skelly Chas Skelly
Feb. 14, 2015 Featherweight Chas Skelly Jim Alers Chas Skelly
Sept. 5, 2014 Featherweight Sean Soriano Chas Skelly Chas Skelly
Aug. 23, 2014 Featherweight Chas Skelly Tom Niinimaki Chas Skelly
April 19, 2014 Featherweight Mirsad Bektic Chas Skelly Mirsad Bektic
Mark Striegl History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 17, 2020 Bantamweight Said Nurmagomedov Mark Striegl Said Nurmagomedov