The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 37 | 36 | 31 | |
| Height | 64" | 63" | 63" | |
| Reach | 65" | 64" | 64" | |
| Win Percentage | 60.87% | 63.16% | 75.06% | |
| Wins | 14 | 13 | ||
| Losses | 10 | 7 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 6 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 45.50% | 45.12% | 54.80% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 36.67% | 39.64% | 45.60% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.462 | 6.639 | 5.611 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.635 | 5.163 | 3.703 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.107 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -18.89% | -4.33% | -0.26% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -13.67% | -5.08% | -1.06% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -2.33% | 5.75% | -2.78% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 2.67% | 4.08% | -3.64% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 92.99% | 109.84% | 96.41% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 132.97% | 138.47% | 151.16% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 49.95% | 56.26% | 54.53% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.884 | 0.097 | 0.579 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.179 | 0.194 | 1.622 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.831 | 0.874 | 3.945 | |
| Takedown Defense | 38.46% | 35.14% | 95.89% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 30.77% | 22.22% | 33.69% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.210 | 3.222 | 2.314 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.672 | 10.282 | 6.273 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.183 | 3.261 | 2.475 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.012 | 1.242 | 0.815 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.552 | 1.773 | 1.168 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.953 | 1.216 | 0.932 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.413 | 0.699 | 0.575 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.688 | 0.971 | 0.745 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.707 | 1.081 | 0.551 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.776 | 1.301 | 0.650 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.061 | 1.741 | 0.879 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.061 | 1.029 | 0.786 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 15, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Virna Jandiroba | Virna Jandiroba | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | |
| April 7, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
| Dec. 2, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig | |
| June 25, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish | Felice Herrig | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Alexa Grasso | Felice Herrig | Felice Herrig | |
| July 23, 2016 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran | Felice Herrig | |
| April 18, 2015 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant | Paige VanZant | |
| Dec. 12, 2014 | Women's Strawweight | Felice Herrig | Lisa Ellis | Felice Herrig |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Jessica Penne | Jessica Penne | |
| Feb. 22, 2020 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Yan Xiaonan | Yan Xiaonan | |
| June 8, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Alexa Grasso | Alexa Grasso | |
| March 30, 2019 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | |
| Sept. 8, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Jessica Andrade | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Jessica Andrade | |
| April 7, 2018 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Jodie Esquibel | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
| June 3, 2017 | Women's Strawweight | Claudia Gadelha | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Claudia Gadelha | |
| Nov. 12, 2016 | UFC Women's Strawweight Title | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | |
| July 30, 2016 | Women's Strawweight | Rose Namajunas | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
| May 8, 2016 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | Women's Strawweight | Randa Markos | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |