Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Sergei Pavlovich - UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Sergei Pavlovich by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Shamil Abdurakhimov
+250
Sergei Pavlovich
28
15
-0.8
-400

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Shamil Abdurakhimov Sergei Pavlovich
Main Stats
Age 40 29
Height 75" 75"
Reach 76" 84"
Win Percentage 76.92% 93.33%
Wins 20 15
Losses 7 1
Wins at Weight Class 5 2
Losses at Weight Class 4 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.85% 55.45%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.80% 52.63%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.954 7.336
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.531 6.550
Knockdowns per Fight 0.326 3.930
Striking Impact Differential 6.33% 5.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.67% 5.00%
Striking Output Differential -0.11% 11.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -7.67% 10.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 101.65% 51.79%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 151.50% 56.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.74% 44.44%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.163 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.141 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.726 3.930
Takedown Defense 112.50% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 24.14% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.564 6.026
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.367 11.397
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.869 2.358
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.467 0.393
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.750 0.917
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.478 1.179
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.500 0.131
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.663 0.131
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.348 1.048
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.652 1.703
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.000 2.882
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.598 1.048
Shamil Abdurakhimov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Heavyweight Shamil Abdurakhimov Chris Daukaus Chris Daukaus
Sept. 7, 2019 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Shamil Abdurakhimov Curtis Blaydes
April 20, 2019 Heavyweight Marcin Tybura Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
Sept. 15, 2018 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
Nov. 25, 2017 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
Dec. 9, 2016 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Shamil Abdurakhimov Derrick Lewis
Oct. 1, 2016 Heavyweight Shamil Abdurakhimov Walt Harris Shamil Abdurakhimov
Feb. 21, 2016 Heavyweight Anthony Hamilton Shamil Abdurakhimov Shamil Abdurakhimov
April 4, 2015 Heavyweight Shamil Abdurakhimov Timothy Johnson Timothy Johnson
Sergei Pavlovich History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 26, 2019 Heavyweight Maurice Greene Sergei Pavlovich Sergei Pavlovich
April 20, 2019 Heavyweight Sergei Pavlovich Marcelo Golm Sergei Pavlovich
Nov. 24, 2018 Heavyweight Alistair Overeem Sergei Pavlovich Alistair Overeem