Mike Grundy vs. Makwan Amirkhani - UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Makwan Amirkhani by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mike Grundy
14
9
-0.1
-305
Makwan Amirkhani
+170

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mike Grundy Makwan Amirkhani
Main Stats
Age 35 33
Height 67" 70"
Reach 72" 72"
Win Percentage 80.00% 69.57%
Wins 12 17
Losses 4 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 6
Losses at Weight Class 2 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.57% 52.16%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.95% 44.12%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.393 2.096
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.141 1.373
Knockdowns per Fight 0.378 0.137
Striking Impact Differential -35.33% -27.73%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -32.00% -10.55%
Striking Output Differential -79.00% -37.36%
Significant Striking Output Differential -76.00% -19.18%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 252.63% 137.99%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 272.94% 190.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.17% 51.72%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.378 1.098
Takedowns per Fight 3.778 4.119
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 14.358 9.474
Takedown Defense 100.00% 75.00%
Takedown Accuracy 26.32% 43.48%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.562 1.208
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.804 2.828
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.746 1.245
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.579 0.119
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.831 0.229
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.033 0.787
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.046
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.025 0.055
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.781 0.403
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.353 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.403 0.018
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.403 0.165
Mike Grundy History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 15, 2021 Featherweight Lando Vannata Mike Grundy Lando Vannata
July 25, 2020 Featherweight Movsar Evloev Mike Grundy Movsar Evloev
March 16, 2019 Featherweight Mike Grundy Nad Narimani Mike Grundy
Makwan Amirkhani History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 30, 2021 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Lerone Murphy Lerone Murphy
June 5, 2021 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Kamuela Kirk Kamuela Kirk
Oct. 10, 2020 Featherweight Edson Barboza Makwan Amirkhani Edson Barboza
July 11, 2020 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Danny Henry Makwan Amirkhani
Nov. 2, 2019 Featherweight Shane Burgos Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos
June 1, 2019 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold Makwan Amirkhani
May 27, 2018 Featherweight Jason Knight Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
March 18, 2017 Featherweight Arnold Allen Makwan Amirkhani Arnold Allen
Feb. 27, 2016 Featherweight Mike Wilkinson Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
June 20, 2015 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Masio Fullen Makwan Amirkhani
Jan. 24, 2015 Featherweight Andy Ogle Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani