Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nate Landwehr by Decision - Majority

Fight Info:
Location: San Diego, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Nate Landwehr
+265
David Onama
31
17
0.2
-375

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Nate Landwehr David Onama
Main Stats
Age 34 28
Height 69" 71"
Reach 72" 74"
Win Percentage 78.95% 90.91%
Wins 16 10
Losses 4 2
Wins at Weight Class 2 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.24% 54.13%
Significant Striking Accuracy 52.20% 48.59%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.706 7.351
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.513 5.613
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.543
Striking Impact Differential 7.25% 4.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.25% 0.33%
Striking Output Differential 5.00% 1.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.25% -2.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.59% 88.18%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 95.54% 110.32%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.06% 52.62%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.967 0.543
Takedowns per Fight 0.484 1.086
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.967 4.888
Takedown Defense 14.29% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 22.22%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.675 4.563
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 10.091 10.247
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.320 3.585
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.903 0.833
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.322 1.086
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.257 1.485
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.935 0.217
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.064 0.217
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.387 0.507
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.677 0.760
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.225 1.014
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.806 0.435
Nate Landwehr History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 16, 2021 Featherweight Nate Landwehr Ludovit Klein Nate Landwehr
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa Julian Erosa
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Darren Elkins Nate Landwehr Nate Landwehr
Jan. 25, 2020 Featherweight Herbert Burns Nate Landwehr Herbert Burns
David Onama History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 9, 2022 Featherweight David Onama Garrett Armfield David Onama
Feb. 19, 2022 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez David Onama David Onama
Oct. 23, 2021 Lightweight Mason Jones David Onama Mason Jones