Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Marlon Vera by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: San Diego, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marlon Vera
26
17
9.0
-235
Dominick Cruz
+160

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marlon Vera Dominick Cruz
Main Stats
Age 29 37
Height 68" 68"
Reach 70" 68"
Win Percentage 73.08% 88.89%
Wins 22 24
Losses 7 4
Wins at Weight Class 11 3
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.36% 42.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.90% 38.14%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.155 5.049
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.333 4.145
Knockdowns per Fight 0.596 0.090
Striking Impact Differential -15.74% 19.22%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -7.84% 17.89%
Striking Output Differential -27.63% 28.56%
Significant Striking Output Differential -19.47% 26.56%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 100.00% 126.01%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 115.19% 150.87%
Striking Defense Percentage 50.00% 66.33%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.126 0.090
Takedowns per Fight 0.729 2.350
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.723 7.320
Takedown Defense 45.95% 19.35%
Takedown Accuracy 42.31% 32.10%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.284 2.796
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.548 8.995
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.132 1.856
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.016 0.753
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.555 1.169
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.157 0.609
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.034 0.596
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.246 0.705
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.702 0.711
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.535 0.313
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.680 0.386
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.459 0.295
Marlon Vera History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 30, 2022 Bantamweight Rob Font Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Nov. 6, 2021 Bantamweight Frankie Edgar Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
June 19, 2021 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Davey Grant Marlon Vera
Dec. 19, 2020 Bantamweight Jose Aldo Marlon Vera Jose Aldo
Aug. 15, 2020 Bantamweight Sean O'Malley Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Song Yadong Marlon Vera Song Yadong
Oct. 12, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Andre Ewell Marlon Vera
July 6, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Nohelin Hernandez Marlon Vera
March 23, 2019 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Frankie Saenz Marlon Vera
Nov. 17, 2018 Bantamweight Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Aug. 4, 2018 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Wulijiburen Marlon Vera
Feb. 3, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Marlon Vera Douglas Silva de Andrade
Oct. 28, 2017 Bantamweight John Lineker Marlon Vera John Lineker
July 22, 2017 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
March 18, 2017 Catch Weight Brad Pickett Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
Nov. 26, 2016 Featherweight Marlon Vera Guangyou Ning Marlon Vera
Feb. 27, 2016 Bantamweight Davey Grant Marlon Vera Davey Grant
Aug. 8, 2015 Bantamweight Marlon Vera Roman Salazar Marlon Vera
Nov. 15, 2014 Bantamweight Marco Beltran Marlon Vera Marco Beltran
Dominick Cruz History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 11, 2021 Bantamweight Pedro Munhoz Dominick Cruz Dominick Cruz
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney Dominick Cruz
May 9, 2020 UFC Bantamweight Title Henry Cejudo Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo
Dec. 30, 2016 UFC Bantamweight Title Dominick Cruz Cody Garbrandt Cody Garbrandt
June 4, 2016 UFC Bantamweight Title Dominick Cruz Urijah Faber Dominick Cruz
Jan. 17, 2016 UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw Dominick Cruz Dominick Cruz
Sept. 27, 2014 Bantamweight Dominick Cruz Takeya Mizugaki Dominick Cruz
Oct. 1, 2011 UFC Bantamweight Title Dominick Cruz Demetrious Johnson Dominick Cruz
July 2, 2011 UFC Bantamweight Title Dominick Cruz Urijah Faber Dominick Cruz