The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Marlon Vera | Dominick Cruz | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 29 | 37 | 32 | |
| Height | 68" | 68" | 67" | |
| Reach | 70" | 68" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 73.08% | 88.89% | 79.27% | |
| Wins | 22 | 24 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 11 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 55.36% | 42.37% | 50.13% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.90% | 38.14% | 44.19% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.155 | 5.049 | 5.374 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.333 | 4.145 | 4.045 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.596 | 0.090 | 0.496 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -15.74% | 19.22% | 3.85% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -7.84% | 17.89% | 1.60% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -27.63% | 28.56% | 5.77% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -19.47% | 26.56% | 3.51% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 100.00% | 126.01% | 106.53% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 115.19% | 150.87% | 134.23% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 50.00% | 66.33% | 55.91% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.126 | 0.090 | 0.450 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.729 | 2.350 | 1.654 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.723 | 7.320 | 4.186 | |
| Takedown Defense | 45.95% | 19.35% | 75.21% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42.31% | 32.10% | 31.77% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.284 | 2.796 | 2.565 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.548 | 8.995 | 7.101 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.132 | 1.856 | 2.480 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.016 | 0.753 | 0.798 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.555 | 1.169 | 1.238 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.157 | 0.609 | 0.791 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.034 | 0.596 | 0.682 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.246 | 0.705 | 0.840 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.702 | 0.711 | 0.620 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.535 | 0.313 | 0.405 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.680 | 0.386 | 0.570 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.459 | 0.295 | 0.389 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30, 2022 | Bantamweight | Rob Font | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| Nov. 6, 2021 | Bantamweight | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| June 19, 2021 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | |
| Dec. 19, 2020 | Bantamweight | Jose Aldo | Marlon Vera | Jose Aldo | |
| Aug. 15, 2020 | Bantamweight | Sean O'Malley | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| May 16, 2020 | Featherweight | Song Yadong | Marlon Vera | Song Yadong | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera | |
| July 6, 2019 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Nohelin Hernandez | Marlon Vera | |
| March 23, 2019 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Frankie Saenz | Marlon Vera | |
| Nov. 17, 2018 | Bantamweight | Guido Cannetti | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Wulijiburen | Marlon Vera | |
| Feb. 3, 2018 | Bantamweight | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Marlon Vera | Douglas Silva de Andrade | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Bantamweight | John Lineker | Marlon Vera | John Lineker | |
| July 22, 2017 | Bantamweight | Brian Kelleher | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| March 18, 2017 | Catch Weight | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| Nov. 26, 2016 | Featherweight | Marlon Vera | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera | |
| Feb. 27, 2016 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | |
| Aug. 8, 2015 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar | Marlon Vera | |
| Nov. 15, 2014 | Bantamweight | Marco Beltran | Marlon Vera | Marco Beltran |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 11, 2021 | Bantamweight | Pedro Munhoz | Dominick Cruz | Dominick Cruz | |
| March 6, 2021 | Bantamweight | Dominick Cruz | Casey Kenney | Dominick Cruz | |
| May 9, 2020 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Henry Cejudo | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo | |
| Dec. 30, 2016 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Dominick Cruz | Cody Garbrandt | Cody Garbrandt | |
| June 4, 2016 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Dominick Cruz | Urijah Faber | Dominick Cruz | |
| Jan. 17, 2016 | UFC Bantamweight Title | TJ Dillashaw | Dominick Cruz | Dominick Cruz | |
| Sept. 27, 2014 | Bantamweight | Dominick Cruz | Takeya Mizugaki | Dominick Cruz | |
| Oct. 1, 2011 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Dominick Cruz | Demetrious Johnson | Dominick Cruz | |
| July 2, 2011 | UFC Bantamweight Title | Dominick Cruz | Urijah Faber | Dominick Cruz |