Cynthia Calvillo vs. Nina Nunes - UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nina Nunes by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: San Diego, California, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Cynthia Calvillo
27
18
12.5
-200
Nina Nunes
+150

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Cynthia Calvillo Nina Nunes
Main Stats
Age 35 36
Height 64" 65"
Reach 64" 64"
Win Percentage 69.23% 58.82%
Wins 9 11
Losses 5 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 44.33% 52.14%
Significant Striking Accuracy 40.44% 47.14%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.206 5.837
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.270 4.638
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 10.45% 11.88%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.09% 15.38%
Striking Output Differential -2.82% 26.88%
Significant Striking Output Differential -13.82% 30.38%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 146.07% 72.83%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 177.23% 88.27%
Striking Defense Percentage 64.85% 53.88%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.987 0.553
Takedowns per Fight 1.755 0.277
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.058 0.692
Takedown Defense 36.36% 30.77%
Takedown Accuracy 43.24% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.340 2.665
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.502 7.174
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.457 2.195
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.294 0.830
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.120 1.328
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.746 0.609
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.636 1.143
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.936 1.337
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.899 0.701
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.132 0.433
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.161 0.701
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.256 0.452
Cynthia Calvillo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 13, 2021 Women's Flyweight Cynthia Calvillo Andrea Lee Andrea Lee
Sept. 25, 2021 Women's Flyweight Jessica Andrade Cynthia Calvillo Jessica Andrade
Nov. 21, 2020 Women's Flyweight Katlyn Cerminara Cynthia Calvillo Katlyn Cerminara
June 13, 2020 Women's Flyweight Jessica Eye Cynthia Calvillo Cynthia Calvillo
Dec. 7, 2019 Women's Strawweight Marina Rodriguez Cynthia Calvillo None
Feb. 17, 2019 Women's Strawweight Cortney Casey Cynthia Calvillo Cynthia Calvillo
Nov. 17, 2018 Women's Strawweight Cynthia Calvillo Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo
Dec. 30, 2017 Women's Strawweight Cynthia Calvillo Carla Esparza Carla Esparza
July 16, 2017 Women's Strawweight Joanne Wood Cynthia Calvillo Cynthia Calvillo
April 8, 2017 Women's Strawweight Cynthia Calvillo Pearl Gonzalez Cynthia Calvillo
March 4, 2017 Women's Strawweight Amanda Cooper Cynthia Calvillo Cynthia Calvillo
Nina Nunes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 10, 2021 Women's Strawweight Nina Nunes Mackenzie Dern Mackenzie Dern
June 8, 2019 Women's Strawweight Tatiana Suarez Nina Nunes Tatiana Suarez
Dec. 8, 2018 Women's Strawweight Claudia Gadelha Nina Nunes Nina Nunes
July 28, 2018 Women's Strawweight Randa Markos Nina Nunes Nina Nunes
Nov. 11, 2017 Women's Strawweight Angela Hill Nina Nunes Nina Nunes
Jan. 15, 2017 Women's Strawweight Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger Nina Nunes Nina Nunes
Jan. 2, 2016 Women's Strawweight Justine Kish Nina Nunes Justine Kish
Nov. 8, 2014 Women's Strawweight Juliana Lima Nina Nunes Juliana Lima