UFC Event Results

March 16, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
778.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 50.0% Under: 75.0% Full: 60.0%

Profit Model

Main: 33.33% Under: 50.0% Full: 40.0%

Plain Model

Main: 50.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 50.0%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Win

-500

Strength: 22.0 points
EV: -4.2%

Ange Loosa

Win

-168

Strength: 5.0 points
EV: -2.5%

Total Odds

1.91x

Return on $10 Bet

$9.14

Parlay #2

Marcin Tybura

Win

+105

Strength: 5.0 points
EV: 11.4%

Isaac Dulgarian

Win

-152

Strength: 5.0 points
EV: -0.2%

Total Odds

3.40x

Return on $10 Bet

$23.99

Parlay #3

Marcin Tybura

Win

+105

Strength: 5.0 points
EV: 11.4%

Bryan Barberena

Win

+165

Strength: 2.0 points
EV: 17.9%

Total Odds

5.43x

Return on $10 Bet

$44.32

Parlay #4

Bryan Barberena

Win

+165

Strength: 2.0 points
EV: 17.9%

Cory McKenna

Win

-102

Strength: 18.0 points
EV: 28.7%

Total Odds

5.25x

Return on $10 Bet

$42.48

Parlay #5

Mike Davis

Win

-310

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: -0.4%

Chelsea Chandler

Win

-140

Strength: 7.0 points
EV: 5.8%

Total Odds

2.27x

Return on $10 Bet

$12.67

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Tai Tuivasa
7
-125
Marcin Tybura
5
13
11.4
+105
Bryan Battle
5
9
12
-2.5
-168
Ange Loosa
+137
Ovince Saint Preux
+385
Kennedy Nzechukwu
22
1
2
-4.2
-500
Christian Rodriguez
5
12
+127
Isaac Dulgarian
5
-0.2
-152
Pannie Kianzad
0
4
+165
Macy Chiasson
11
3.5
-200
Gerald Meerschaert
2
7
16
17.9
+165
Bryan Barberena
-200

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.