The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 28 | 32 | |
| Height | 66" | 69" | 67" | |
| Reach | 66" | 69" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 64.86% | 81.82% | 79.00% | |
| Wins | 24 | 10 | ||
| Losses | 14 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 54.14% | 56.83% | 50.14% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.95% | 48.63% | 44.04% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.453 | 7.872 | 5.359 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.408 | 5.415 | 3.986 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.364 | 0.326 | 0.470 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -1.50% | 26.60% | 4.01% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -11.00% | 11.80% | 1.07% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -7.71% | 31.80% | 6.81% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -17.36% | 15.40% | 3.47% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 95.61% | 68.78% | 105.47% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 165.32% | 98.39% | 134.51% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 54.76% | 56.32% | 55.75% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.729 | 0.000 | 0.451 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.822 | 1.631 | 1.635 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.250 | 2.936 | 4.125 | |
| Takedown Defense | 57.14% | 50.00% | 76.59% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42.86% | 55.56% | 31.99% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.251 | 3.654 | 2.512 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.412 | 8.634 | 7.000 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.004 | 2.631 | 2.453 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.534 | 1.153 | 0.793 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.109 | 1.696 | 1.229 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.012 | 0.783 | 0.785 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.623 | 0.609 | 0.681 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.802 | 0.805 | 0.843 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.640 | 0.718 | 0.632 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.235 | 1.283 | 0.403 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.340 | 1.566 | 0.568 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.462 | 0.609 | 0.395 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2022 | Featherweight | Brian Kelleher | Umar Nurmagomedov | Umar Nurmagomedov | |
| Jan. 15, 2022 | Featherweight | Brian Kelleher | Kevin Croom | Brian Kelleher | |
| Aug. 21, 2021 | Bantamweight | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte | Brian Kelleher | |
| Feb. 13, 2021 | Featherweight | Ricky Simon | Brian Kelleher | Ricky Simon | |
| Sept. 5, 2020 | Featherweight | Brian Kelleher | Ray Rodriguez | Brian Kelleher | |
| June 6, 2020 | Featherweight | Cody Stamann | Brian Kelleher | Cody Stamann | |
| May 13, 2020 | Featherweight | Hunter Azure | Brian Kelleher | Brian Kelleher | |
| Jan. 18, 2020 | Bantamweight | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne | Brian Kelleher | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | Bantamweight | Brian Kelleher | Montel Jackson | Montel Jackson | |
| May 12, 2018 | Bantamweight | John Lineker | Brian Kelleher | John Lineker | |
| Feb. 24, 2018 | Bantamweight | Renan Barao | Brian Kelleher | Brian Kelleher | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Bantamweight | Damian Stasiak | Brian Kelleher | Brian Kelleher | |
| July 22, 2017 | Bantamweight | Brian Kelleher | Marlon Vera | Marlon Vera | |
| June 3, 2017 | Bantamweight | Iuri Alcantara | Brian Kelleher | Brian Kelleher |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 19, 2022 | Bantamweight | Mario Bautista | Jay Perrin | Mario Bautista | |
| March 6, 2021 | Bantamweight | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones | Trevin Jones | |
| Feb. 8, 2020 | Bantamweight | Miles Johns | Mario Bautista | Mario Bautista | |
| July 20, 2019 | Bantamweight | Mario Bautista | Jin Soo Son | Mario Bautista | |
| Jan. 19, 2019 | Bantamweight | Cory Sandhagen | Mario Bautista | Cory Sandhagen |