Stephen Thompson vs. Kevin Holland - UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Stephen Thompson by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Orlando, Florida, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Stephen Thompson
16
+140
Kevin Holland
23
12.5
-200

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Stephen Thompson Kevin Holland
Main Stats
Age 39 30
Height 72" 75"
Reach 75" 81"
Win Percentage 72.73% 74.19%
Wins 17 23
Losses 6 9
Wins at Weight Class 11 2
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.90% 71.28%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.96% 55.95%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.651 7.954
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.900 3.703
Knockdowns per Fight 0.572 0.361
Striking Impact Differential 5.61% 29.63%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 15.83% 12.88%
Striking Output Differential 19.39% 22.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 34.00% 11.06%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.44% 49.21%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 95.50% 83.44%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.97% 55.63%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.631
Takedowns per Fight 0.286 0.902
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.686 1.804
Takedown Defense 56.67% 97.67%
Takedown Accuracy 41.67% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.627 2.261
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.087 4.744
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.529 1.299
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.896 0.661
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.323 0.986
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.499 0.643
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.377 0.782
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.461 0.890
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.785 0.523
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.221 0.391
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.301 0.553
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.393 0.355
Stephen Thompson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Belal Muhammad Belal Muhammad
July 10, 2021 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Stephen Thompson Gilbert Burns
Dec. 19, 2020 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal Stephen Thompson
Nov. 2, 2019 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque Stephen Thompson
March 23, 2019 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Anthony Pettis Anthony Pettis
May 27, 2018 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Darren Till Darren Till
Nov. 4, 2017 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Jorge Masvidal Stephen Thompson
March 4, 2017 UFC Welterweight Title Tyron Woodley Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley
Nov. 12, 2016 UFC Welterweight Title Tyron Woodley Stephen Thompson None
June 18, 2016 Welterweight Rory MacDonald Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
Feb. 6, 2016 Welterweight Johny Hendricks Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
July 12, 2015 Welterweight Jake Ellenberger Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
Sept. 27, 2014 Welterweight Patrick Cote Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
Feb. 22, 2014 Welterweight Robert Whittaker Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
Sept. 21, 2013 Welterweight Chris Clements Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
May 25, 2013 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Nah-Shon Burrell Stephen Thompson
April 21, 2012 Welterweight Matt Brown Stephen Thompson Matt Brown
Feb. 4, 2012 Welterweight Dan Stittgen Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson
Kevin Holland History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 10, 2022 Catch Weight Khamzat Chimaev Kevin Holland Khamzat Chimaev
June 18, 2022 Welterweight Tim Means Kevin Holland Kevin Holland
March 5, 2022 Welterweight Kevin Holland Alex Oliveira Kevin Holland
Oct. 2, 2021 Middleweight Kevin Holland Kyle Daukaus None
April 10, 2021 Middleweight Marvin Vettori Kevin Holland Marvin Vettori
March 20, 2021 Middleweight Derek Brunson Kevin Holland Derek Brunson
Dec. 12, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Jacare Souza Kevin Holland
Oct. 31, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Charlie Ontiveros Kevin Holland
Sept. 19, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Darren Stewart Kevin Holland
Aug. 8, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland
May 16, 2020 Middleweight Anthony Hernandez Kevin Holland Kevin Holland
Oct. 18, 2019 Middleweight Brendan Allen Kevin Holland Brendan Allen
June 22, 2019 Middleweight Kevin Holland Alessio Di Chirico Kevin Holland
March 30, 2019 Middleweight Kevin Holland Gerald Meerschaert Kevin Holland
Nov. 24, 2018 Middleweight Kevin Holland John Phillips Kevin Holland
Aug. 4, 2018 Middleweight Thiago Santos Kevin Holland Thiago Santos