Natan Levy vs. Genaro Valdez - UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Natan Levy by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Orlando, Florida, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Natan Levy
26
22
6.9
-260
Genaro Valdez
+160

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Natan Levy Genaro Valdez
Main Stats
Age 31 30
Height 69" 69"
Reach 71" 72"
Win Percentage 87.50% 90.91%
Wins 8 10
Losses 1 2
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.20% 26.32%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.87% 26.32%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.167 3.077
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.633 3.077
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -7.50% -61.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.00% -50.00%
Striking Output Differential -26.00% -76.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -16.50% -63.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 108.39% 430.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 116.55% 410.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.82% 40.59%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 6.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 11.500 4.615
Takedown Defense 166.67% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 52.17% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.967 2.769
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.967 11.077
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.833 17.231
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.267 0.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.567 0.000
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.633 0.923
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.400 0.308
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.400 0.615
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.167 0.308
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.200 0.923
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.467 3.385
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.533 1.846
Natan Levy History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 30, 2022 Lightweight Natan Levy Mike Breeden Natan Levy
Nov. 20, 2021 Lightweight Rafa Garcia Natan Levy Rafa Garcia
Genaro Valdez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 22, 2022 Lightweight Matt Frevola Genaro Valdez Matt Frevola