Punahele Soriano vs. Roman Kopylov - UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Roman Kopylov by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Punahele Soriano
20
12
16.9
-165
Roman Kopylov
+135

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Punahele Soriano Roman Kopylov
Main Stats
Age 30 31
Height 71" 72"
Reach 72" 75"
Win Percentage 81.82% 81.82%
Wins 9 10
Losses 3 2
Wins at Weight Class 3 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.08% 47.02%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.54% 44.52%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.983 3.934
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.225 3.436
Knockdowns per Fight 1.722 0.747
Striking Impact Differential 2.40% -26.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.00% -5.00%
Striking Output Differential -1.20% -59.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 1.00% -24.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.86% 174.05%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 102.17% 166.67%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.41% 60.05%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.344 0.373
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.033 1.120
Takedown Defense 216.67% 14.29%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.916 2.141
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.590 6.174
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.090 2.415
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.217 0.847
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.470 1.095
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.263 0.373
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.092 0.448
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.138 0.448
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.413 1.021
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.344 0.149
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.505 0.199
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.620 0.075
Punahele Soriano History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 16, 2022 Middleweight Punahele Soriano Dalcha Lungiambula Punahele Soriano
Feb. 5, 2022 Middleweight Punahele Soriano Nick Maximov Nick Maximov
July 24, 2021 Middleweight Punahele Soriano Brendan Allen Brendan Allen
Jan. 16, 2021 Middleweight Punahele Soriano Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano
Dec. 14, 2019 Middleweight Punahele Soriano Oskar Piechota Punahele Soriano
Roman Kopylov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 3, 2022 Middleweight Alessio Di Chirico Roman Kopylov Roman Kopylov
Oct. 30, 2021 Middleweight Albert Duraev Roman Kopylov Albert Duraev
Nov. 9, 2019 Middleweight Roman Kopylov Karl Roberson Karl Roberson