Ketlen Vieira vs. Raquel Pennington - UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Raquel Pennington by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ketlen Vieira
-120
Raquel Pennington
22
16
29.2
+100

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ketlen Vieira Raquel Pennington
Main Stats
Age 31 34
Height 68" 67"
Reach 68" 67"
Win Percentage 86.67% 60.87%
Wins 13 15
Losses 3 9
Wins at Weight Class 7 10
Losses at Weight Class 2 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.18% 57.85%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.00% 50.66%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.125 5.615
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.127 3.926
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -28.78% 4.38%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -13.89% 9.06%
Striking Output Differential -27.00% -19.63%
Significant Striking Output Differential -12.11% -14.56%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 93.13% 103.16%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 140.23% 140.07%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.14% 62.61%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.431 0.665
Takedowns per Fight 1.510 0.997
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.774 3.523
Takedown Defense 8.33% 57.58%
Takedown Accuracy 40.00% 28.30%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.487 2.238
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.865 5.703
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.696 1.773
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.489 1.232
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.597 1.529
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.459 1.024
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.151 0.456
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.165 0.519
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.870 0.487
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.589 1.303
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.726 1.613
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.791 1.037
Ketlen Vieira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 21, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Nov. 20, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Miesha Tate Ketlen Vieira
Feb. 20, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Yana Santos Yana Santos
Sept. 26, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Sijara Eubanks Ketlen Vieira
Dec. 14, 2019 Women's Bantamweight Ketlen Vieira Irene Aldana Irene Aldana
March 3, 2018 Women's Bantamweight Cat Zingano Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Sept. 9, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
April 15, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Ashlee Evans-Smith Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Oct. 1, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Kelly Faszholz Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Raquel Pennington History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 9, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Aspen Ladd Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
Dec. 18, 2021 Women's Featherweight Raquel Pennington Macy Chiasson Raquel Pennington
Sept. 18, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Pannie Kianzad Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
June 20, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Marion Reneau Raquel Pennington
Jan. 18, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Holly Holm Raquel Pennington Holly Holm
July 20, 2019 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana Raquel Pennington
Nov. 10, 2018 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Germaine de Randamie Germaine de Randamie
May 12, 2018 UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Amanda Nunes Raquel Pennington Amanda Nunes
Nov. 12, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Miesha Tate Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
Aug. 20, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Elizabeth Phillips Raquel Pennington
April 16, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Bethe Correia Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
Sept. 5, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Jessica Andrade Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington
Feb. 28, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Holly Holm Holly Holm
Dec. 6, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith Raquel Pennington
March 15, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Raquel Pennington Jessica Andrade Jessica Andrade
Nov. 30, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Roxanne Modafferi Raquel Pennington Raquel Pennington