Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta - UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Marcos Rogerio de Lima by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
-185
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
23
14
39.3
+151

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marcos Rogerio de Lima Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Main Stats
Age 37 31
Height 73" 76"
Reach 75" 78"
Win Percentage 68.97% 100.00%
Wins 21 9
Losses 9 1
Wins at Weight Class 6 2
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 67.91% 50.45%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.73% 50.46%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.878 7.400
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.477 7.333
Knockdowns per Fight 1.110 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 24.87% 45.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.33% 49.00%
Striking Output Differential 31.80% 55.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 12.40% 60.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 30.99% 89.19%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 63.12% 87.73%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.63% 61.27%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.740 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.294 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.589 0.000
Takedown Defense 54.55% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.207 5.500
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.586 12.133
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.319 1.233
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.641 1.433
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.863 1.900
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.308 0.700
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.629 0.400
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.789 0.500
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.123 2.133
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.419 0.167
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.567 0.267
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.308 0.133
Marcos Rogerio de Lima History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 29, 2022 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
May 7, 2022 Heavyweight Blagoy Ivanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima Blagoy Ivanov
Nov. 13, 2021 Heavyweight Ben Rothwell Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
May 8, 2021 Heavyweight Maurice Greene Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Nov. 7, 2020 Heavyweight Alexandr Romanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima Alexandr Romanov
Feb. 22, 2020 Heavyweight Ben Sosoli Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Feb. 23, 2019 Heavyweight Stefan Struve Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve
Nov. 3, 2018 Heavyweight Adam Wieczorek Marcos Rogerio de Lima Marcos Rogerio de Lima
April 22, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Marcos Rogerio de Lima Ovince Saint Preux
Jan. 28, 2017 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Jeremy Kimball Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Nov. 19, 2016 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Gadzhimurad Antigulov Gadzhimurad Antigulov
April 23, 2016 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Clint Hester Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Aug. 23, 2015 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov
Dec. 20, 2014 Light Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Igor Pokrajac Marcos Rogerio de Lima
May 31, 2014 Heavyweight Marcos Rogerio de Lima Richardson Moreira Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Waldo Cortes-Acosta History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Heavyweight Chase Sherman Waldo Cortes-Acosta Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Oct. 29, 2022 Heavyweight Waldo Cortes-Acosta Jared Vanderaa Waldo Cortes-Acosta