Cody Durden vs. Charles Johnson - UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Cody Durden by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Cody Durden
21
18
34.1
+122
Charles Johnson
-145

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Cody Durden Charles Johnson
Main Stats
Age 32 32
Height 67" 69"
Reach 67" 70"
Win Percentage 77.78% 76.47%
Wins 15 13
Losses 4 5
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.80% 60.55%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.07% 53.25%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.774 6.660
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.135 4.460
Knockdowns per Fight 0.298 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 14.67% 25.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.00% 8.75%
Striking Output Differential 26.83% 15.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.00% -3.75%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 57.39% 76.36%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.20% 110.41%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.03% 56.74%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.298 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 4.167 0.303
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 10.119 2.119
Takedown Defense 40.00% 65.38%
Takedown Accuracy 41.18% 14.29%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.183 2.321
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.198 5.328
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.726 1.231
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.437 1.352
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.595 2.038
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.595 1.009
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.516 0.787
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.595 1.009
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.814 1.514
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.159 0.686
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.218 0.928
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.139 0.202
Cody Durden History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 29, 2022 Flyweight Cody Durden Carlos Mota Cody Durden
June 25, 2022 Flyweight JP Buys Cody Durden Cody Durden
March 19, 2022 Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev Cody Durden Muhammad Mokaev
Nov. 20, 2021 Flyweight Cody Durden Aoriqileng Cody Durden
Dec. 19, 2020 Flyweight Jimmy Flick Cody Durden Jimmy Flick
Aug. 1, 2020 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Cody Durden None
Charles Johnson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 25, 2023 Catch Weight Ode Osbourne Charles Johnson Ode Osbourne
Jan. 14, 2023 Flyweight Charles Johnson Jimmy Flick Charles Johnson
Nov. 19, 2022 Flyweight Charles Johnson Zhalgas Zhumagulov Charles Johnson
July 23, 2022 Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev