Song Yadong vs. Chris Gutierrez - UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Song Yadong by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Song Yadong
26
13
0.2
-375
Chris Gutierrez
10
+290

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Fight Analysis: Song Yadong vs Chris Gutierrez

WolfTicketsAI Prediction: Song Yadong to Win

Song Yadong's Key Strengths and Recent Performance: - Yadong's impressive UFC history shows a strong leaning towards knockouts, with multiple KO/TKO victories. His recent win against Ricky Simon by TKO demonstrates his striking prowess. - He has an excellent striking game, evident in his high number of strikes landed per minute (6.0425) and significant striking accuracy (0.4247). - His UFC history, including a win over Marlon Moraes by KO/TKO and a split decision victory against Casey Kenney, reflects his ability to handle diverse fighting styles. - However, his loss to Cory Sandhagen by TKO - Doctor's Stoppage suggests vulnerability under sustained pressure.

Chris Gutierrez's Key Strengths and Recent Performance: - Gutierrez's recent unanimous decision victory over Alatengheili highlights his striking ability and defensive skills. - He possesses a significant leg kick game, with a high rate of leg kicks landed per minute (2.3493). This could be a key factor in disrupting Yadong's movement and striking. - His loss to Pedro Munhoz, however, shows potential weaknesses in handling aggressive pressure and grappling.

Comparative Analysis:

  • Yadong's more frequent KO/TKO wins suggest superior power in striking compared to Gutierrez.
  • Gutierrez’s leg kicks could play a critical role, but Yadong's ability to land significant strikes and maintain a high striking output might overshadow this.
  • Yadong's striking accuracy and output seem to give him an edge in a stand-up battle.

Additional Considerations:

  • Both fighters have shown resilience and versatility in their UFC careers.
  • Yadong's experience in handling fighters with varied styles gives him an adaptable edge.
  • Gutierrez's recent performances, although impressive, seem slightly less dominant compared to Yadong's knockout capabilities.

Conclusion:

WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Song Yadong winning appears well-founded. Yadong's striking ability, significant strike output, and history of knockout victories give him a considerable advantage. While Gutierrez’s leg kicks and striking defense are notable, Yadong's overall striking prowess and adaptability in the octagon seem likely to lead him to victory in this matchup.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Song Yadong Chris Gutierrez
Main Stats
Age 26 32
Height 68" 69"
Reach 67" 67"
Win Percentage 74.07% 80.00%
Wins 21 20
Losses 7 6
Wins at Weight Class 7 6
Losses at Weight Class 3 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 48.49% 59.01%
Significant Striking Accuracy 42.47% 57.88%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.043 5.382
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.612 5.044
Knockdowns per Fight 0.744 0.563
Striking Impact Differential 12.92% 15.36%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.92% 28.00%
Striking Output Differential 23.17% -7.55%
Significant Striking Output Differential 19.17% 9.91%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 91.79% 104.60%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 118.43% 102.38%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.17% 65.40%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.213 0.113
Takedowns per Fight 0.531 0.338
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.956 0.901
Takedown Defense 37.84% 39.29%
Takedown Accuracy 55.56% 37.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.933 2.027
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.621 4.624
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.437 1.426
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.999 0.668
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.438 1.006
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.808 0.646
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.680 2.349
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.801 3.085
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.524 0.661
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.319 0.120
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.446 0.188
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.241 0.030
Song Yadong History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 29, 2023 Bantamweight Song Yadong Ricky Simon Song Yadong
Sept. 17, 2022 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Song Yadong Cory Sandhagen
March 12, 2022 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 13, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Julio Arce Song Yadong
Aug. 7, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Casey Kenney Song Yadong
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Song Yadong Marlon Vera Song Yadong
Dec. 7, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Song Yadong None
July 6, 2019 Bantamweight Alejandro Perez Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Song Yadong Vince Morales Song Yadong
June 23, 2018 Bantamweight Felipe Arantes Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 25, 2017 Featherweight Song Yadong Bharat Kandare Song Yadong
Chris Gutierrez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 14, 2023 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Alatengheili Chris Gutierrez
April 15, 2023 Bantamweight Pedro Munhoz Chris Gutierrez Pedro Munhoz
Nov. 12, 2022 Bantamweight Frankie Edgar Chris Gutierrez Chris Gutierrez
March 26, 2022 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Batgerel Danaa Chris Gutierrez
Oct. 9, 2021 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Felipe Colares Chris Gutierrez
Feb. 13, 2021 Catch Weight Andre Ewell Chris Gutierrez Chris Gutierrez
Aug. 1, 2020 Bantamweight Chris Gutierrez Cody Durden None
May 30, 2020 Featherweight Chris Gutierrez Vince Morales Chris Gutierrez
Aug. 10, 2019 Bantamweight Geraldo de Freitas Chris Gutierrez Chris Gutierrez
March 23, 2019 Bantamweight Ryan MacDonald Chris Gutierrez Chris Gutierrez
Nov. 30, 2018 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Chris Gutierrez Raoni Barcelos