The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
WolfTicketsAI predicts Nasrat Haqparast to win. This prediction aligns with Haqparast's recent form and technical striking ability. His striking defense and significant strike stats suggest he can outmaneuver and outstrike Mullarkey. However, Mullarkey's knockout power and ground game pose a threat. Haqparast's loss via KO/TKO to Dober is a concern, especially against a fighter with Mullarkey's power.
Haqparast's strategy will likely involve utilizing his striking accuracy and defense, aiming to outscore Mullarkey in a long fight, possibly targeting a decision win. Mullarkey might look to exploit any openings for a powerful strike or take the fight to the ground, capitalizing on any weaknesses in Haqparast's grappling defense.
Given Haqparast's consistent performance and strategic approach, along with his ability to handle various fighting styles, he seems well-positioned to win. However, Mullarkey's knockout capability and ground game could turn the tide if he capitalizes on any openings. This matchup promises a clash of strategies, with Haqparast likely focusing on a technical, striking-based game and Mullarkey seeking opportunities for powerful, fight-ending strikes or takedowns.
Stat | Nasrat Haqparast | Jamie Mullarkey | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 28 | 29 | 31 | |
Height | 70" | 72" | 70" | |
Reach | 72" | 74" | 72" | |
Win Percentage | 75.00% | 73.91% | 79.98% | |
Wins | 16 | 17 | ||
Losses | 5 | 7 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 5 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 4 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 46.50% | 49.33% | 48.29% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.62% | 47.28% | 42.70% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.229 | 4.940 | 5.264 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.735 | 4.457 | 3.849 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.529 | 0.308 | 1.122 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -3.00% | 2.11% | 2.82% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 6.09% | 0.56% | 1.01% | |
Striking Output Differential | -34.82% | -1.44% | 4.32% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -24.73% | -3.56% | 2.13% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 154.70% | 109.36% | 85.94% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 165.81% | 120.05% | 108.48% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 64.37% | 54.84% | 48.13% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.154 | 0.484 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.317 | 2.465 | 1.542 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.587 | 7.241 | 4.158 | |
Takedown Defense | 26.92% | 30.00% | 83.76% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 20.00% | 34.04% | 29.21% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 4.155 | 2.218 | 2.480 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 10.722 | 6.614 | 6.257 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.245 | 2.866 | 2.276 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.347 | 0.986 | 0.805 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.813 | 1.458 | 1.167 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.185 | 0.924 | 0.756 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.233 | 1.253 | 0.564 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.317 | 1.356 | 0.670 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.832 | 0.616 | 0.568 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.325 | 0.431 | 0.381 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.466 | 0.647 | 0.542 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.247 | 0.236 | 0.389 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 9, 2023 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Sept. 3, 2022 | Lightweight | John Makdessi | Nasrat Haqparast | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Feb. 12, 2022 | Lightweight | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast | King Green | |
Sept. 25, 2021 | Lightweight | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast | Dan Hooker | |
March 13, 2021 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Rafa Garcia | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Aug. 8, 2020 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Jan. 18, 2020 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Nasrat Haqparast | Drew Dober | |
Aug. 3, 2019 | Lightweight | Joaquim Silva | Nasrat Haqparast | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Oct. 27, 2018 | Lightweight | Thibault Gouti | Nasrat Haqparast | Nasrat Haqparast | |
July 22, 2018 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Marc Diakiese | Nasrat Haqparast | |
Oct. 21, 2017 | Lightweight | Marcin Held | Nasrat Haqparast | Marcin Held |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 9, 2023 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | John Makdessi | Jamie Mullarkey | |
June 3, 2023 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov | Muhammad Naimov | |
Feb. 11, 2023 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | Francisco Prado | Jamie Mullarkey | |
July 9, 2022 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Jamie Mullarkey | Jamie Mullarkey | |
March 5, 2022 | Lightweight | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey | Jalin Turner | |
Oct. 2, 2021 | Lightweight | Devonte Smith | Jamie Mullarkey | Jamie Mullarkey | |
March 27, 2021 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | Khama Worthy | Jamie Mullarkey | |
Oct. 17, 2020 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | Fares Ziam | Fares Ziam | |
Oct. 5, 2019 | Lightweight | Brad Riddell | Jamie Mullarkey | Brad Riddell |