The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
In the upcoming UFC flyweight clash, we see HyunSung Park pitted against Shannon Ross. WolfTicketsAI has predicted a win for Park, and the stats seem to echo this expectation.
Park has an impeccable record of 8 wins and no losses, signaling a fighter on the rise. His recent victory over SeungGuk Choi by submission demonstrates his ground game prowess. Park shows a balanced approach in striking, with significant head strikes per minute at 1.5171 and a good mix of leg kicks. His striking defense to offense ratio of 0.8983 and significant strike defense to offense ratio of 1.2895 suggest a calculated approach in his fights. Park's ability to maintain a high takedown defense ratio (1.0000) and a good submission rate per fight (3.4134) further solidify his position as a formidable contender.
Ross, on the other hand, comes off two consecutive KO/TKO losses, raising a red flag as per our first heuristic. This pattern of losses, especially by knockouts, casts doubt on his resilience and chin strength in stand-up exchanges. Ross's recent striking stats also paint a concerning picture; his head strikes absorbed per minute stand at a high 7.1053, indicative of a defensive vulnerability. His striking defense percentage is low (0.3333), and his significant striking defense percentage (0.3600) doesn't fare much better. This deficiency in striking defense, coupled with recent KO losses, suggests a potential area of exploitation for Park.
Park's striking accuracy (0.4720) and significant striking accuracy (0.4176) are higher compared to Ross, indicating a more efficient and effective striking game. Ross's recent performance shows a negative striking output and impact differential, which could be a significant disadvantage against a fighter like Park, who has a positive differential in these areas.
Given the statistics and fight breakdowns, WolfTicketsAI’s prediction favoring HyunSung Park seems well-founded. Park’s balanced and effective striking, coupled with a strong submission game, positions him advantageously against Ross, who has shown vulnerabilities in striking defense and a worrying trend of recent KO losses. Park's potential for exploiting these weaknesses makes him a strong contender for the win in this flyweight matchup.
Stat | HyunSung Park | Shannon Ross | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 28 | 34 | 30 | |
Height | 67" | 66" | 67" | |
Reach | 66" | 66" | 68" | |
Win Percentage | 100.00% | 61.90% | 80.66% | |
Wins | 9 | 13 | ||
Losses | 0 | 9 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 47.20% | 42.86% | 49.19% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 41.76% | 42.86% | 41.92% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.475 | 2.368 | 4.531 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.882 | 2.368 | 3.091 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.535 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 29.00% | -7.50% | 1.38% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 18.00% | -6.50% | -0.07% | |
Striking Output Differential | 42.00% | -10.00% | -0.45% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 22.00% | -9.00% | -2.38% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 89.83% | 300.00% | 89.68% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 128.95% | 300.00% | 121.12% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 71.01% | 36.00% | 46.16% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 3.413 | 0.000 | 0.875 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.138 | 0.000 | 1.378 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.413 | 0.000 | 3.952 | |
Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 100.00% | 77.81% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 33.33% | 0.00% | 24.80% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.517 | 0.790 | 1.835 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.627 | 2.368 | 4.857 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.910 | 7.105 | 2.013 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.076 | 0.790 | 0.736 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.228 | 0.790 | 1.032 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.228 | 2.368 | 0.801 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.290 | 0.790 | 0.520 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 2.048 | 2.368 | 0.669 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.379 | 3.158 | 0.561 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.076 | 0.000 | 0.256 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.228 | 0.000 | 0.369 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.000 | 3.947 | 0.301 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb. 4, 2023 | Road to UFC 1 Flyweight Tournament Title | SeungGuk Choi | HyunSung Park | HyunSung Park |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 8, 2023 | Flyweight | Shannon Ross | Jesus Aguilar | Jesus Aguilar | |
Feb. 11, 2023 | Flyweight | Shannon Ross | Kleydson Rodrigues | Kleydson Rodrigues |