HyunSung Park vs. Shannon Ross - UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: HyunSung Park by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
HyunSung Park
30
24
26
-4.2
-500
Shannon Ross
+375

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: HyunSung Park vs Shannon Ross

Background Context

In the upcoming UFC flyweight clash, we see HyunSung Park pitted against Shannon Ross. WolfTicketsAI has predicted a win for Park, and the stats seem to echo this expectation.

HyunSung Park's Performance and Prospects

Park has an impeccable record of 8 wins and no losses, signaling a fighter on the rise. His recent victory over SeungGuk Choi by submission demonstrates his ground game prowess. Park shows a balanced approach in striking, with significant head strikes per minute at 1.5171 and a good mix of leg kicks. His striking defense to offense ratio of 0.8983 and significant strike defense to offense ratio of 1.2895 suggest a calculated approach in his fights. Park's ability to maintain a high takedown defense ratio (1.0000) and a good submission rate per fight (3.4134) further solidify his position as a formidable contender.

Shannon Ross's Challenges

Ross, on the other hand, comes off two consecutive KO/TKO losses, raising a red flag as per our first heuristic. This pattern of losses, especially by knockouts, casts doubt on his resilience and chin strength in stand-up exchanges. Ross's recent striking stats also paint a concerning picture; his head strikes absorbed per minute stand at a high 7.1053, indicative of a defensive vulnerability. His striking defense percentage is low (0.3333), and his significant striking defense percentage (0.3600) doesn't fare much better. This deficiency in striking defense, coupled with recent KO losses, suggests a potential area of exploitation for Park.

Comparative Analysis

Park's striking accuracy (0.4720) and significant striking accuracy (0.4176) are higher compared to Ross, indicating a more efficient and effective striking game. Ross's recent performance shows a negative striking output and impact differential, which could be a significant disadvantage against a fighter like Park, who has a positive differential in these areas.

Heuristic Considerations

  1. Recent KO Losses for Ross: Ross's recent KO/TKO losses are critical factors, aligning with our heuristic about the increased likelihood of losing subsequent fights.
  2. Limited UFC History for Park: Park's limited number of UFC fights (only one listed) should be considered. However, his undefeated record somewhat mitigates this concern.
  3. Weight Class Stability: Both fighters seem to be consistent in their weight class, with no recent changes noted.
  4. Downward Trend for Ross: Ross’s recent fight record does suggest a potential downward trend, aligning with heuristic 4.

Conclusion

Given the statistics and fight breakdowns, WolfTicketsAI’s prediction favoring HyunSung Park seems well-founded. Park’s balanced and effective striking, coupled with a strong submission game, positions him advantageously against Ross, who has shown vulnerabilities in striking defense and a worrying trend of recent KO losses. Park's potential for exploiting these weaknesses makes him a strong contender for the win in this flyweight matchup.

Stat Breakdown

Stat HyunSung Park Shannon Ross
Main Stats
Age 28 34
Height 67" 66"
Reach 66" 66"
Win Percentage 100.00% 61.90%
Wins 9 13
Losses 0 9
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.20% 42.86%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.76% 42.86%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.475 2.368
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.882 2.368
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 29.00% -7.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 18.00% -6.50%
Striking Output Differential 42.00% -10.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 22.00% -9.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.83% 300.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 128.95% 300.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 71.01% 36.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 3.413 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.138 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.413 0.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.517 0.790
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.627 2.368
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.910 7.105
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.076 0.790
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.228 0.790
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.228 2.368
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.290 0.790
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 2.048 2.368
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.379 3.158
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.076 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.228 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.000 3.947
HyunSung Park History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 4, 2023 Road to UFC 1 Flyweight Tournament Title SeungGuk Choi HyunSung Park HyunSung Park
Shannon Ross History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 8, 2023 Flyweight Shannon Ross Jesus Aguilar Jesus Aguilar
Feb. 11, 2023 Flyweight Shannon Ross Kleydson Rodrigues Kleydson Rodrigues