The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Vicente Luque | Geoff Neal | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| Height | 71" | 71" | 72" | |
| Reach | 76" | 75" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 72.41% | 77.78% | 78.36% | |
| Wins | 21 | 15 | ||
| Losses | 9 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 14 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 56.19% | 51.85% | 51.71% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 53.35% | 49.39% | 46.09% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.012 | 5.083 | 5.808 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.304 | 4.585 | 4.440 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.907 | 0.849 | 0.846 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -4.11% | -9.38% | 3.99% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 1.17% | -4.50% | 1.70% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -17.94% | -49.63% | 5.25% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -10.61% | -43.25% | 2.68% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 103.02% | 164.59% | 97.26% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 111.63% | 179.01% | 118.33% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 53.35% | 62.18% | 53.85% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.817 | 0.170 | 0.542 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.544 | 0.509 | 1.239 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.089 | 1.019 | 3.819 | |
| Takedown Defense | 63.33% | 13.64% | 69.26% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.00% | 50.00% | 38.71% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.260 | 4.019 | 2.948 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.415 | 8.547 | 7.491 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.817 | 3.283 | 2.713 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.581 | 0.351 | 0.830 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.865 | 0.509 | 1.194 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.756 | 1.245 | 0.808 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.464 | 0.215 | 0.661 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.663 | 0.226 | 0.782 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.605 | 0.464 | 0.662 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.290 | 0.374 | 0.466 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.369 | 0.634 | 0.647 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.496 | 0.294 | 0.406 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 16, 2022 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Belal Muhammad | Belal Muhammad | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| March 27, 2021 | Welterweight | Tyron Woodley | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| Aug. 1, 2020 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Randy Brown | Vicente Luque | |
| May 9, 2020 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| Nov. 2, 2019 | Welterweight | Stephen Thompson | Vicente Luque | Stephen Thompson | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Mike Perry | Vicente Luque | |
| May 18, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Derrick Krantz | Vicente Luque | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Bryan Barberena | Vicente Luque | |
| Oct. 6, 2018 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque | |
| May 19, 2018 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Chad Laprise | Vicente Luque | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| March 18, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque | Leon Edwards | |
| Nov. 12, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Belal Muhammad | Vicente Luque | |
| Sept. 24, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque | |
| July 7, 2016 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | Welterweight | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| July 12, 2015 | Welterweight | Michael Graves | Vicente Luque | Michael Graves |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 11, 2021 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Geoff Neal | |
| May 8, 2021 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Geoff Neal | Neil Magny | |
| Dec. 19, 2020 | Welterweight | Stephen Thompson | Geoff Neal | Stephen Thompson | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry | Geoff Neal | |
| July 27, 2019 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Niko Price | Geoff Neal | |
| Jan. 19, 2019 | Welterweight | Belal Muhammad | Geoff Neal | Geoff Neal | |
| Sept. 8, 2018 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal | |
| Feb. 18, 2018 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |